Month: July 2025

Notes for NFL teams:
NFC East
Dallas
Missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 1998, they’re 4-12 in playoff games.
17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.

NJ Giants
Missed playoffs 11 of last 13 years.
Last two years, went 6-11/3-14.
Last seven years, they’re 9-12 ATS in NFC East home games.

Philadelphia
Since 2017, they’re 10-5 in playoff games (2 Super Bowl wins)
Since 2018, Eagles are 19-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, over is 21-12 in Philly’s regular season home games.

Washington
LY, Commanders made playoffs for second time in last nine years.
Before last year, Washington’s last playoff win was in 2005.
Last year, over was 12-5 in Washington’s regular season games.

NFC North
Chicago
Last four years, Chicago went 21-47, missing playoffs every year.
Since winning Super Bowl 40 years ago, Bears are 6-12 in playoff games.
Last five years, Bears are 10-20 ATS in divisional games.

Detroit
Last three years, Detroit went 36-15 in regular season, 2-2 in playoffs.
In the entire Super Bowl era, Lions are 3-14 in playoff games (0-12 on road)
Lions are 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

Green Bay
Packers made the playoffs 12 of the last 15 years.
Since winning Super Bowl 15 years ago, Green Bay is 8-11 in playoff games.
Packers are 26-17-1 ATS in their last 44 games as a home favorite.

Minnesota
Vikings were 14-3 LY, but let QB Darnold walk anyway.
Since 2010, Minnesota is 2-6 in playoff games.
Vikings are 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.

NFC South
Atlanta
Falcons missed the playoffs the last seven years.
Since 2014, Atlanta is 20-40-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In their history, Falcons are 6-2 in home playoff games, 4-12 otherwise.

Carolina
Carolina missed the playoffs the last seven years.
In their history, Panthers are 9-8 in playoff games (5-2 at home)
Carolina’s last seven home games went over the total.

New Orleans
New Orleans missed the playoffs the last four years.
Since winning Super Bowl 16 years ago, Saints are 4-7 in playoff games.
Since 2014, Saints are 26-38-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers made the playoffs the last five years (27-24 last 3 years)
Tampa Bay is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Last three years, Buccaneers are 3-5-1 ATS in NFC South home games.

NFC West
Arizona
Cardinals missed playoffs the last three years, and eight of last nine.
Since making it to the Super Bowl 17 years ago, Arizona is 2-4 in playoff games.
Cardinals are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA Rams
In eight years under McVay, Rams made playoffs six times (1-1 in Super Bowl)
McVay has a 8-5 record in playoff games.
Rams are 4-8-2 ATS last 14 games as a non-divisional road underdog.

San Francisco
49ers missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 2012, 49ers made playoffs six times; they went WWL all six years.
49ers are 7-9 ATS in last sixteen games as a home favorite.

Seattle
Seattle missed playoffs 3 of last 4 years, after making it 12 of previous 16 years.
Since losing Super Bowl 11 years ago, Seahawks are 3-6 in playoff games.
Last year, Seahawks were 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven home games.

Famous birthdays, July 2nd:
Robert Ito, 94
Polly Holliday, 88
Larry David, 78
Joe Pisarcik, 73

Tony Armas, 72
Jon Sundvold, 64
Jose Canseco, 61
Steve Sparks, 61

Chad Henne, 40
Margot Robbie, 35
Derrick White, 31
Daulton Varsho, 29

AFC teams
AFC East
Buffalo
Since 2017, Bills are 86-45 SU in regular season, 7-7 in playoffs.
Buffalo is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 regular season games.

Miami
Dolphins made the playoffs twice in McDaniel’s three seasons as HC.
Dolphins lost their last six playoff games (last win, 2000)
Miami’s last six home games went over the total.

New England
Patriots made the playoffs once in five years since Brady left.
Vrabel’s is New England’s third HC in three years (4-13/4-13 last 2 years)
Patriots are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.

NJ Jets
Jets have had nine consecutive losing seasons, last made playoffs in 2010.
Jets haven’t played a home playoff game since 2002.
Since 2018, Jets are 7-14 ATS in AFC East home games.

AFC North
Baltimore
Lamar Jackson is 70-24 in regular season games, 3-5 in playoff games.
Ravens are 2-3 SU in last five home playoff games.
Last two years, Baltimore is 19-12 ATS as a favorite.

Cincinnati
Bengals went 9-8/9-8 last two years, but missed playoffs both years.
2021-22, Bengals went 22-11 in regular season, 5-2 in playoffs.
From 1991-2020, Cincinnati was 0-7 in playoff games.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games. 

Cleveland
Since returning to NFL, Browns are 1-3 in playoff games.
Cleveland made playoffs twice in last five years, were 3-14 LY.
Last year, Browns were 3-12 ATS in their last fifteen games.

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh made the playoffs eight of the last 11 years.
Steelers haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.
Steelers are 25-14 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

AFC South
Houston
Texans won AFC South last two years, six of last 10 seasons.
Texans are 6-1 in home playoff games, 0-6 in road playoff games.
Since 2019, Houston is 6-15 ATS as a home favorite.

Indianapolis
Colts missed playoffs last four years, and eight of last 10 seasons.
Last year, over was 7-1 in their last eight games.
Over is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.

Jacksonville
Jaguars made the playoffs once in last seven seasons.
In their history, Jacksonville is 8-8 SU in playoff games.
Since 2016, Jaguars are 10-3 ATS as a home dog vs AFC South rivals.

Tennessee
Last three years, Titans missed playoffs, going 16-35 SU
Tennessee is 5-4 SU in its last nine road playoff games.
Last year, Titans were 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS at home. 

AFC West
Denver
Broncos made playoffs last year for first time in nine years.
LY’s playoff loss in Buffalo was their first road playoff game since 2011.
Denver won/covered six of its last seven home games.

Kansas City
Last six years, Chiefs went 3-2 SU in Super Bowls.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 16-3 SU in playoff games.
Since 2020, Chiefs are 17-22 ATS as a home favorite.

Las Vegas
Raiders made the playoffs twice in the last 22 years.
Raiders haven’t won a playoff game since 2002.
Pete Carroll made playoffs in four of his last six years in Seattle.

LA Chargers
Chargers made playoffs two of last three years.
Jim Harbaugh is 55-25-1 SU as an NFL coach, 5-4 in playoff games.
Chargers’ last six regular season road games went over the total. 

Happy Canada Day, to our neighbors to the north…….
Notes for Big X football teams:

Arizona
Wildcats have had only one winning season the last seven years.
Arizona won four of its last five bowl games SU

Arizona State
Coach Dillingham is 7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Since 2017, Sun Devils are 41-27 ATS in league games, 9-16-1 in non-league games.

Baylor
Last four years, Bears are 10-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Baylor has 73 starts back on offensive line, which is good- they were 8-5 last year, only their second winning season the last five years. 

Brigham Young
Coach Sitake is 17-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Coach Sitake is 27-35 as a favorite.

Central Florida
Since 2019, Knights are 7-16 ATS as a road favorite.
Coach Frost is 12-6 ATS as a road underdog. He is back at UCF this year after he had previously coach the Knights in 2016-17. 

Cincinnati
Last two years, Bearcats are 8-16 SU; their last bowl win was in 2019.
Coach Satterfield is 17-9 ATS as a road favorite.

Colorado
Under Coach Sanders, Colorado is 9-3 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, Buffaloes were +21 in turnovers. 

Houston
Coach Fritz is 44-27 ATS as a favorite.
Last three years, Houston was 9-16-1 in conference games.

Famous birthdays, July 1st:
Jamie Farr, 91
Freddie Lewis, 82
Dan Aykroyd, 73
Roger Carr, 73

Nelson Cruz, 45
Pamela Anderson, 58
Charlie Blackmon, 39
Kent Bazemore, 36

Iowa State
Coach Campbell is 25-14-2 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2015, Cyclones are 35-17-1 ATS coming off a loss. 

Kansas
Last two years, Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS as an underdog.
Kansas won 4 of its last 5 bowl games, scoring 42 ppg, but only two of those five bowls have been played since 2008.

K-State
Coach Klieman is 25-13 ATS in home games.
Since 2016, Wildcats are 27-13 ATS coming off a loss.

Oklahoma State
Cowboys were 3-9 LY, missing a bowl for first time in 19 years.
OSU is 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home dog, 24-9 ATS in last 33 non-league games. 

TCU
Since 2018, Horned Frogs are 5-11-1 as a road underdog.
TCU has 3 starters/93 starts back on OL; they were 9-4 LY, despite a -6 turnover ratio.

Texas Tech
Last four years, Red Raiders are 16-6 ATS coming off a loss
Coach McGuire is 9-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Tech has 136 starts back on the offensive line; very experienced.

Utah
Coach Whittingham is 39-26 ATS as an underdog.
Utes lost their last five bowl games; they were favored in three of the five games.

West Virginia
Coach Rodriguez is 20-31 ATS as a road underdog.
Last five years, Mountaineers are 13-4 ATS as a home favorite.