2025 NFL Playoffs
Saturday’s games
Bills @ Broncos (-1.5)
Bills (13-5)
Last week, Bills got first road playoff win since 1992 (1-8 last nine).
Buffalo held five of last seven opponents under 300 TY.
Bills won six of seven, nine of their last twelve games.
QB Allen is 96-45 as an NFL starter (8-6 in playoffs).
McDermott is 105-57 as an NFL head coach (8-7 in playoffs).
Bills are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
Buffalo scored 23+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19-12 in losses.
Buffalo is 13-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Sixth road game in last nine weeks for Buffalo.
Bills are 6-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Since 2020, Bills are 0-4 vs Chiefs in playoffs, 8-1 vs everyone else.
Broncos (14-3)
Broncos won 13 of their last 14 games overall.
Denver is 9-3 in last 12 home playoff games.
Denver is 8-1 when they score more than 20 points.
QB Nix is 24-11 as an NFL starter (0-1 in playoffs).
Payton is 193-117 as an NFL head coach, 32-20 with Denver.
Payton is 9-9 in playoff games, won Super Bowl 16 years ago.
Denver is 3-4 ATS as a home favorite this season.
Underdogs covered eight of their last nine games.
In their losses, Denver allowed 29-23-34 points.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Denver is 11-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Broncos are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 AFC West home games.
Last six years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in this round.
Buffalo beat Denver 31-7 in playoffs last year.
Bills won six of last eight series games.
Teams split last four meetings in Denver.
49ers @ Seahawks (-7)
49ers (13-5)
Last six times 49ers were in playoffs, they went WWL
Overall, 49ers won seven of their last eight games.
49ers are 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Purdy is 35-17 as an NFL starter, 5-2 in playoffs.
Shanahan is 91-71 as an NFL head coach, 7-4 in playoffs.
Last two games, 49ers ran ball for only 53-75 yards.
49ers are 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42-13 points in their losses.
Last three games, 49ers are minus-4 in turnovers.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
Seahawks (14-3)
Seahawks are in playoffs for first time in three years.
Seahawks won 10 of their last 11 home playoff games.
Overall, Seahawks won seven in row, 11 of their last 12 games.
Darnold is 49-42 as an NFL starter (0-1 in playoffs)
MacDonald is 24-10 as a head coach (0-0 in playoffs).
Seattle’s losses this year were by 4-3-2 points.
Seattle is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 6-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Seahawks went over their team total 11 of last 16 games.
Opponents’ team total: under 11-5-1.
Seahawks (-2.5) won 13-3 at San Francisco two weeks ago.
San Francisco won first meeting 17-13 in Seattle in Week 1.
49ers won seven of last nine series games.
49ers won/covered last four visits to Seattle.
Sunday’s games
Texans @ Patriots (-3)
Texans (13-5)
Texans covered their last five games as an underdog.
Houston has been in playoffs eight times; 6-2 at home, 1-6 on the road.
Texans are 7-2 in their first playoff game of a season, 0-6 in second one.
Stroud is 31-20 as an NFL starter, 2-3 in playoffs.
Ryans is 35-21 in as an NFL head coach, 3-2 in playoffs.
Houston is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Houston is 6-0 in games decided by 10+ points, 7-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
Last five games, Texans scored 30.2 ppg.
Last 15 games, Texans are +19 in turnovers.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Patriots (15-3)
Patriots are 14-1 SU/12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.
Last three games, New England allowed 10-10-3 points.
Last seven games, Patriots gained 381+ TY every game.
QB Maye is 18-12 as an NFL starter (1-0 in playoffs).
Vrabel is 71-51 as an NFL head coach (3-3 in playoffs, 1-2 at home).
Patriots are 9-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
NE is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Opponents’ team total: under 14-2 last 16 games
Over is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
Five of Patriots’ last six games went over the total.
Houston won three of last four series games.
Texans are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to New England.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Rams (-3.5) @ Bears
Rams (13-5)
Rams scored 34+ points in five of their last six games.
Rams are 9-4 ATS in their last thirteen games.
This year, Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
QB Stafford is 52-30 as the Rams’ starter (6-2 in playoffs).
McVay is 101-62 as an NFL head coach (9-5 in playoffs).
Rams are 5-3 ATS as a road favorite this year.
This year, Rams were minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +17 in wins.
Over is 7-0 in Rams’ last seven games.
Rams went over team total in 13 of last 17 games.
Seven of Rams’ last ten wins were by 14+ points.
Going to be a cold night; Rams lost in playoffs in snow LY in Philadelphia.
Bears (12-6)
Chicago won eight of eleven, 12 of last 16 games.
Bears trailed in last 2:00 in 7 of their 12 wins.
Bears are 11-3 scoring 24+ points, 1-3 scoring less.
In wins, Chicago was +22 in turnovers; minus-2 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 12-6 as an NFL head coach (1-0 in playoffs).
QB Williams is 17-18 as an NFL starter (1-0 in playoffs).
Bears win LW was their first playoff win since 2010.
Chicago is 7-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Chicago is 7-2 SU at home this year.
Bears are 9-1 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 8-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Last three games, Chicago gave up 496-433-421 yards.
Rams won three of last four series games.
Rams lost their last four visits to Chicago.
Rams last win in Chicago was in 2003.
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Big Dawg’s NFL picks
2025 record: 36-29, plus 123
2024 record: 25-28-1, minus 174
2023 record: 30-23-1, plus 141
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Armadillo’s NFL picks
2025 record: 7-6, plus 12 chrismillers
2024 record: 6-6, minus 18 largents ______________________________
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