Games are analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game
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2025 college football
Top 13 games of the week
Friday’s games
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State (-13.5)
Tulsa (1-2)
Tulsa lost its I-A games, 21-14/42-23.
Tulsa beat a I-AA team, 35-7.
Navy ran for 367 yards in LW’s 42-23 Navy win.
Tulsa has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hurricane has 25 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Hayes is 36-54/324 passing this year.
Tulsa is 4-5-2 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
New coach Lamb was 27-25 as a FCS head coach.
Since 2017, Tulsa is 15-15-1 ATS in non-conference games.
Tulsa is 7-16 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
AAC road dogs are 5-3 ATS in non-conference games.
Oklahoma State (1-1)
OSU was outgained 631-211 in a 69-3 loss at Oregon LW.
Ducks ran ball for 312 yards, threw it for 319 yards.
Cowboys beat a I-AA team 27-7
Cowboys have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cowboys have 56 returning starts on OL, mostly transfers.
OSU center Carpenter played for Tulsa last year.
Soph QB Flores is 20-39/203 passing this year.
Since start of last year, Cowboys are 4-10 SU.
Last 2 years, Oklahoma State is 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Last year, Cowboys were 1-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Since 2016, Oklahoma State is 24-10 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Big X home favorites are 5-5 ATS in non-league games.
Oklahoma State won last ten series games (5-2 ATS last seven)
Tulsa is 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Stillwater.
Under is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.
Iowa (-1.5) @ Rutgers
Iowa (2-1)
Iowa beat two cruddy teams, 34-7/47-7.
Hawkeyes lost only road game 16-13 at Iowa State.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.
Iowa hasn’t had a losing season since 2012.
Since 2015, Hawkeyes are 19-8-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 33-24-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, Iowa is 14-11-2 ATS in conference games.
Iowa is 22-17-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a win.
Rutgers (3-0)
Rutgers won its I-A games, 34-31/45-17, both vs MAC teams.
Ohio U ran ball for 201 yards in the season opener.
Rutgers spanked a I-AA team 60-10 last week.
Scarlet Knights have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Rutgers has 106 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Kaliakmanis has 25 career starts.
Since 2019, Scarlet Knights are 5-15-1 ATS as a home dog.
In his college career, Schiano is 21-24-1 ATS as a home dog.
Since 2021, Rutgers is 14-19-3 ATS in Big 18 games.
Rutgers is 10-1-3 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Iowa is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS against Rutgers, with two shutouts.
Three of the four games stayed under the total.
Hawkeyes won 27-10/14-7 in two visits to the Garden State
Saturday’s games
Texas Tech @ Utah (-3.5)
Texas Tech (3-0)
Texas Tech won its I-A games, 62-14/45-14, both at home.
Tech threw for 815 yards in those two games.
Red Raiders have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Red Raiders have 138 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Morton has started 20 games
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 5-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Tech is 15-11-1 ATS in conference games.
Under McGuire, Tech is 8-12-1 in games coming off a win.
Utah (3-0)
Utah won 43-10 at UCLA, 31-6 at Wyoming.
Utes ran for 597 yards in those two games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Since 2017, Utah is 26-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Whittingham is 53-44-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2016, Utes are 50-31 ATS in conference games.
This is teams’ first meeting since 1973.
SMU @ TCU (-6.5)
SMU (2-1)
SMU lost 48-45 at home to Baylor, won 28-10 at Missouri State
Baylor threw for 440 yards against SMU.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.
Mustangs were 11-3/11-3 the last two years.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 16-10 ATS in conference games.
ACC non-conference underdogs are 3-5 ATS this year.
TCU (2-0)
Horned Frogs won 48-14 at North Carolina, beat I-AA team 42-21.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.
Under Dykes, TCU is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 30-25 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 7-6 ATS in non-league games.
Big X non-league favorites are 9-8 ATS, 5-5 at home.
Local rivals split their last six meetings.
SMU is 2-4 SU/3-2-1 ATS in last six visits to TCU.
Over is 12-4 in last 16 series games.
Auburn @ Oklahoma (-7.5)
Auburn (3-0)
Auburn scored 38-42-31 points in its three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB started 10 games for Oklahoma.
Tigers have run the ball for 242 yards/game.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 19-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 8-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-10 ATS in games coming off a win.
Oklahoma (3-0)
Oklahoma won its I-A games 24-13 (Michigan), 42-3 (Temple)
Sooners gained 408-515 yards in the two games.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 12-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall under Venables, Sooners are 16-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win..
Oklahoma (+1.5) won 27-21 at Auburn LY.
Sooners won despite being outgained, 482-291.
That was teams first meeting since 2016.
Michigan (-1.5) @ Nebraska
Michigan (2-1)
Michigan lost its only road game, 24-13 at Oklahoma.
Michigan beat New Mexico 34-17, Central Michigan 63-3.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 628 yards in his three games.
Former Charlotte coach Poggi is Michigan’s coach today.
Since 2021, Michigan is 8-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Michigan is 20-12-1 ATS in conference games.
Wolverines ran ball for 201/381 games in their wins.
Nebraska (3-0)
Nebraska beat Cincinnati 20-17, Akron 68-0
Last year was their first winning season since 2016.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Raiola started 13 games LY (2,819 yards (13 TDs, 11 INTs)
In his career, Rhule is 31-25-1 ATS in home games.
Since 2017, Nebraska is 6-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 13-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 6-10-2 ATS in conference games.
Michigan is 4-0 SU/2-0-2 ATS in last four series games.
Wolverines won 45-7/32-39 in last two visits to Lincoln.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
North Carolina @ Central Florida (-7.5)
North Carolina (2-1)
North Carolina lost 48-14 to TCU, won 20-3 at Charlotte.
TCU ran for 258 yards in that game.
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama last year.
North Carolina was 6-7 last year (4-9 ATS)
Since 2022, Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Tar Heels are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 non-conference games.
ACC underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-conference games.
Central Florida (2-0)
UCF beat Jacksonville State 17-10, a I-AA team 68-7
Knights have their Big X opener at K-State next week.
Knights have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
UCF has 59 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Jackson started one game at Indiana last year.
Since 2021, UCF is 11-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Frost is 12-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Frost is 26-24-2 ATS in conference games.
UCF is 14-19 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Big X non-conference favorites are 9-8 ATS, 5-5 at home.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
NC State @ Duke (-2.5)
NC State (3-0)
NC State won its first two games, scoring 24-35-34 points.
Last two games, Wolfpack ran ball for 216-205 yards.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY.
Under Doeren, Wolfpack is 13-19-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Doreen is 14-19-2 ATS as a road dog.
Last 5+ years, Wolfpack is 26-18 ATS in conference games.
Wolfpack is 14-19 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Duke (1-2)
Duke lost its two I-A games, giving up 45-34 points.
Blue Devils are minus-6 in turnovers this season.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Duke is 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 15-9 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Duke won/covered four of last five series games.
Wolfpack lost 24-3/38-20 in last two visits to Durham.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.
South Carolina @ Missouri (-9.5)
South Carolina (2-1)
Gamecocks beat Virginia Tech 24-11, lost 31-7 to Vanderbilt.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Gamecocks have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Sellers started 12 games last year.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 18-15 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 13-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 11-6 ATS in road games.
Missouri (3-0)
Mizzou scored 42-52 points in its two I-A wins.
Tigers ran for 688 yards in those two wins.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Mizzou is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 15-14-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 21-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-18 ATS in SEC games.
Mizzou is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in last six series games.
Gamecocks are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Missouri.
Under is 10-3 in last 13 meetings.
Florida @ Miami (-9.5)
Florida (1-2)
Gators got upset 18-16 by USF, lost 20-10 at LSU.
Florida was minus-5 in turnovers in those losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.
Under Napier, Florida is 12-8 ATS as an underdog
In his career, Napier is 23-11-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 6-4 ATS as a road underdog
In his career, Napier is 14-7-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 14-11 ATS in SEC games.
SEC non-conference underdogs are 4-1 ATS
Miami FL (3-0)
Miami edged Notre Dame 27-24, beat South Florida 49-12
Hurricanes gained 576 yards vs USF last week.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 7-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cristobal is 19-32-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 9-12 ATS at home.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 9-7 ATS in non-league games.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 4-8 ATS
Miami is 6-2 SU/ATS in last eight series games.
Teams have met only once since 2019.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Illinois @ Indiana (-6.5)
Illinois (3-0)
Illinois won its I-A games, 45-19/38-0.
Illini is +6 in turnovers this season.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 12-4 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Bielema is 27-17-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in Big 18 games.
In his career, Bielema is 73-59-2 ATS in conference games.
Illinois is 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Indiana (3-0)
Hoosiers won their I-A games, 27-14/56-9.
Indiana ran for 309-313 yards vs Old Dominion/Kennesaw State
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Last nine games, Indiana is +16 in turnovers.
In his career, Cignetti is 18-7 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 9-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Indiana is 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five meetings.
Illinois lost 23-20/52-35 in last two visits to Indiana.
Arizona State @ Baylor (-2.5)
Arizona State (2-1)
ASU lost 24-20 at Miss State, beat Texas State 34-15.
Sun Devils ran ball for 251-245 yards in those games.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 9-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Baylor (2-1)
Baylor lost 38-24 at home to Auburn, won 48-45 at SMU.
Baylor gained 483-601 total yards in those games.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.
Bears were 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 11-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 23-22-1 ATS in Big X games.
Baylor is 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met since 1990.
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