Games are analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game
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2025 college football
Monday’s game
Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Southern (-8.5) vs Appalachian State
Georgia Southern (6-6)
Eagles won three of their last four games.
Eagles are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
GSU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Eagles have 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB French has 2,753 PY, with 19 TD’s, 8 INTs
Georgia Southern is 3-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
Under Helton, Eagles are 12-5 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Helton is 38-29 ATS as a favorite.
TY, Georgia Southern is ATS in games with single digit spread.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Georgia Southern lost four of its last five bowl games.
Appalachian State (5-7)
App State lost five of its last six games, after a 4-2 start.
App State is 3-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
App State has 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
App State has 22 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Kohl has 1,812 PY (18 TD’s, 2 INTs.)
App State is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year
App State is 12-6-1 ATS last 19 games as an underdog.
TY, App State is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
App State won four of its last five bowl games.
These teams are both in the Sun Belt Conference.
Georgia Southern (+5) upset App State 25-23 November 6.
Eagles led 19-3 at halftime, hung on for the road win.
Teams split last six series games.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Tuesday’s games
Independence Bowl (@ Shreveport, LA)
Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech (-10)
Coastal Carolina (6-6)
Coastal lost last three games, giving up 45-51-59 points.
Chanticleers have five losses by 38+ points.
CCU is minus-8 in turnovers in its losses, +8 in wins.
Coastal has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Coastal has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Hudson has 942 PY (4 TD’s, 5 INTs)
Chanticleers are 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year.
Coastal gave up 277+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Coastal scored 38+ points four of their six wins.
Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.
Chanticleers split their four bowl games SU/ATS
This year, Sun Belt non-conference underdogs are 12-18 ATS
This year, Sun Belt teams are 3-5 SU/4-4 ATS in bowls.
Louisiana Tech (7-5)
Tech scored 30+ points in their six I-A wins.
Bulldogs are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Tech has six wins by 10+ points.
Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Tech has 44 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Baker has 1,252 passing yards (5 TD, 3 INTs).
Tech is 4-3 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 10-13 ATS as a favorite.
Tech is +10 in turnovers this year.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
This year, C-USA non-conference favorites are 4-1 ATS
Bulldogs lost their last two bowl games, 38-3/27-6.
This year, Sun Belt teams are 8-6 SU/7-7 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
Favorites won/covered last two Independence Bowls.
Louisiana Tech lost this game last year, 27-6 to Army.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Music City Bowl (@ Nashville)
Illinois vs Tennessee (-3.5)
Illinois (8-4)
Illinois won three of its last four games.
Illini is 2-4 when they allow 27+ points.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.
This year, Illinois is 1-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-12 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Illinois is 3-3-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
This year, Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS
Illinois lost three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in last four Illinois games.
Tennessee (8-4)
Vols split their last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Vols allowed 33+ points in all four losses.
Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Vols have 46 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Aguilar started 24 games at Appalachian State.
This year, Tennessee is 3-6 ATS as a favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 24-18 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Vols are 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
This year, SEC non-conference favorites are 17-22 ATS
Over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
Tennessee is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
SEC teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Big 18 teams this year.
Favorites are 5-4 ATS in last nine Music City Bowls
Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
USC (-6.5) vs TCU
USC (10-3)
Trojans won four of their last five games,.
Trojans allowed 34-34-42 points in their three losses.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.
This year, USC is 4-6 ATS as a favorite.
This year, USC is 1-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
USC won its last two bowls, 42-28/35-31
In his career, Riley is 3-4 SU in bowl games.
Under is 5-2 in last seven USC games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 19-16 ATS this year.
TCU (8-4)
TCU scored 17-13-17 points in its last three games.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.
This year, TCU is 0-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
This year, TCU is 5-2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
In his career, Dykes is 3-4 SU in bowl games.
TCU won three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 6-4 in last ten TCU games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Underdogs are 7-3 in last ten Alamo Bowls.
Big 18/Big X teams split four games this season.
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