Month: November 2025

Rams 42, 49ers 26
Rams’ first drive: 10 plays, 64 yards, TD
Rams’ second drive: 7 plays, 86 yards, TD
Rams’ third drive: 9 plays, 59 yards, TD
Matthew Stafford is 9th QB ever to throw 400+ TD passes.

Rams’ first three drives in 2nd half: 23 plays, 166 yards, 3 TD’s
Rams are 16-7 ATS in last 23 games as a favorite.
Mac Jones threw for 319 yards, three TD’s.
49ers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a win. 

Texans 36, Jaguars 29
Jaguars led 29-10 after the third quarter.
Houston drove 93 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:31 left.
Houston was 10-15 on third down, Jacksonville 4-11.
Texans won 13 of last 16 series games.

Houston is 4-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-5 when it doesn’t.
Texans outgained Jacksonville, 412-213.
Jaguars led 17-0 after they scored on a 73-yard punt return.
Backup QB Mills threw for 292 yards, two TD’s. 

Dolphins 30, Bills 13
Dolphins snap a seven-game losing streak vs Buffalo.
Miami led 16-0 after the third quarter.
Bills’ first seven drives: 38 plays, 172 yards, zero points.
Buffalo has scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13 in losses.

Dolphins ran the ball 32 times for 197 yards.
Miami is 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins went over their team total in six of last eight games.

Colts 31, Falcons 25 OT
Jonathan Taylor ran for 244 yards, three TD’s.
Colts kicked a 44-yard FG with 0:25 left to force overtime.
Inday’s last four drives: 26 plays, 201 yards, 18 points.
Colts’ team total: over 8-2

Indy is 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Colts outgained Atlanta, 519-290.
Colts were 2-12 on third down, Atlanta 0-8.
Falcons lost their last four games, by 10-24-1-6 points.

Jets 27, Browns 20
Jets ran kick back for TD, punt back for TD, both in first quarter.
Jets won last two games, scoring 39-27 points, after an 0-7 start.
QB Fields was 6-11/54 passing, for the whole freakin’ game.
Total yardage: Cleveland 278, Jets 169.

Home teams are 8-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns are 0-5 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19-7 points.
Overall, Browns have lost their last 13 road games.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in six of last seven games.

Ravens 27, Vikings 19
Ravens’ first four drives: 20 plays, 58 yards, 3 points.
Ravens rest of game: 50 plays, 293 yards, 24 points.
Baltimore won its last three games, scoring 30-28-27 points. 
Last four games, Ravens allowed 17-16-6-19 points.

Vikings were 3-14 on third down, turned ball over three times.
Last six games, Minnesota is minus-9 in turnovers.
Vikings had an 86-yard TD drive to start the game.
Vikings rest of game: 58 plays, 276 yards, 12 points.

Famous birthdays, November 10th:
Larry Parrish, 71
Jack Clark, 69
Mackenzie Phillips, 67
Isaac Bruce, 53

Shawn Green, 52
Zach Ertz, 34
Teddy Bridgewater, 32
JJ Bleday, 27

Bears 24, Giants 20
Down 20-10, Chicago had TD drives of 91-53 yards in last 3:56.
Bears are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears won six of their last seven games.
In its wins, Chicago is +17 in turnovers; they’re minus-3 in losses.

Giants outgained Chicago, 431-391.
QB Dart (concussion) sat out the 4th quarter; threw for 242 yards, ran for 66 more.
Giants lost last four games, giving up 33-38-34-24 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.

Patriots 28, Buccaneers 23
Patriots won their last seven games (6-1 ATS).
Patriots had TD plays of 72-55-69 yards.
QB Henderson ran ball 14 times for 147 yards, two TD’s.
Vrabel is 64-50 as an NFL head coach, 8-2 this year.

Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 giving up 24+.
QB Mayfield threw ball for 273 yards, three TD’s.
WR Egbuka caught six passes for 115 yards and a TD.
NFC South teams are 14-16 ATS in non-divisional games.

Saints 17, Panthers 7
Rookie QB Shough threw for 282 yards, two TD’s.
Saints outgained Carolina, 388-175.
Saints are 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
New Orleans is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 NFC South road games.

Saints were 8-17 on third down, Carolina 3-9.
Last four weeks, Panthers scored 13-9-16-7 points.
Last three games, Carolina was held to 244/265/175 total yards.
Since 2020, Panthers are 1-10 ATS as a home favorite.  

Lions 44, Commanders 22
Lions scored on all eight drives: 55 plays, 537 yards.
Detroit outgained Washington, 546-288.
Lions are 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 6-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.  

Commanders lost last five games, last four by 22-21-24-22 points.
In those five games, Washington gave up 35.8 ppg.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 7-2 last nine games.
Commanders are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.

Seahawks 44, Cardinals 22
Seattle scored two defensive TD’s in the first 16:00 of the game.
Seahawks’ first three drives: 22 plays, 222 yards, 21 points.
Seattle led 35-0 with 8:33 left before halftime.
Seahawks won/covered seven of their last eight games.

Seattle averaged 13.4 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks ran ball 46 times for 198 yards.
Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
This was Arizona’s first loss by more than four points.

Chargers 25, Steelers 10
WR McConkey caught four passes for 107 yards and a TD.
Chargers won four of their last five games.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 10-5 ATS in games coming off a win.

Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 71 yards, 3 points.
Chargers outgained Pittsburgh, 314-221.
Steelers were 2-11 on third down, turned ball over three times.
Pittsburgh is +12 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.

College/minor league basketball tipped off Monday; here’s a recap:
Remember in school, on the first day, when the white board in class was clean? This is what the first night of college hoop has become; no one knows ANYTHING, and that includes coaches.

So many teams are total rebuilds; it is like junior college ball, teams constantly starting over, so we pay attention and try to learn quickly.

— Arizona 93, Florida 87
Gators led 32-20 midway thru first half.
6-8 freshman Peat had 30 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists.
His brother/father are/were offensive linemen in the NFL.
Arizona was 31-38 on foul line, Florida 20-30.

— BYU 71, Villanova 66
Villanova was 10-35 on the arc; they had a 49-43 edge on the boards.
BYU had only four turnovers the whole game (+7)
BYU’s star freshman AJ Dybanta scored 21 points. 

I thought they said on TV that Dybanta is getting paid $7M this year; SEVEN MILLION DOLLARS!!!!

— “Winning helps, and losing doesn’t”

Hawaii Pacific 79, Boise State 78
Hawaii Pacific is a D-2 team; this is a horrific loss for a team that was 99-40 over the last four seasons. The Sharks shot 60% inside the arc. Boise was 10-33 behind the arc.

— New Orleans 78, TCU 74
Horned Frogs were a 21-point favorite.
TCU shot 3-27 on the arc, were out-rebounded 38-28.

Great win for the Privateers, who were 26-70 the last three years. 

— Close wins can be red flags:

Auburn 95, Bethune-Cookman 90
Wildcats are coached by former NBA star Reggie Theus; they were 12-22 on the arc.
Auburn started a freshman, two sophs; they were 27-38 on foul line, visitors were 8-9.

Georgia Tech 56, Maryland-Eastern Shore 52 OT
UMES led by nine with 14:31 left in the game.
Tech shot 5-26 on the arc, 9-18 on the foul line.
Only seven players scored for the Yellow Jackets.

Xavier 66, Marist 62
Marist led by a point with 2:11 left in the game.
Red Foxes shot 52.9% inside the arc, out-rebounded Xavier 33-31.
Xavier started four seniors; they were 7-26 behind the arc.

Baylor 96, Texas-Rio Grande 81
Baylor only played eight guys the whole game (78 possessions)
Vaqueros led 26-12 midway thru the first half.
Baylor shot 60% inside the arc, had a 42-26 edge on the glass.

Famous birthdays, November 4th:
Ralph Macchio, 64
Eric Karros, 57
Carlos Baerga, 57
Matthew McConaughey, 56
Orlando Pace, 50
Lorenzen Wright, 50
Tyrese Maxey, 25

— Ohio State 118, IU-Indianapolis 102
IUI has a new head coach after going 24-101 the last four years; they brought in a D-2 coach from West Liberty College who loves to press and play fast- they went 217-37 in his tenure there. 

How will the Jaguars fare in the Horizon League?
They scored 102 points on Ohio State, at least a little impressive.
Game had 86 possessions; a normal game has around 70 possessions. Very fast pace.
IU-Indy shot 68.4% inside the arc, 12-38 outside the arc.

Problem with this  game for IU-Indy?
Ohio State was 42-53 on the foul line, Jaguars were 14-20.

They’re a team worth watching.

— MAC/Sun Belt held a 13-game challenge Monday; home teams went 9-4 SU, with all the MAC teams at home. All the teams that won also covered the spread.

Buffalo 85, Southern Miss 79
Golden Eagles led 26-11 early on.
Southern Miss shot 65.6% inside the arc, Buffalo 52.2%
Buffalo was 12-30 on the arc, 12-23 inside the arc.

— Florida Atlantic 83, Boston College 78 OT
BC led by five points with 1:03 left in regulation.
Owls shot 12-24 on the arc, only 13-25 on the foul line.

ACC teams shouldn’t lose to Florida Atlantic, who went 18-16 LY after Dusty May went 60-13 his last two years at FAU, before bolting to Michigan. But if you’re an ACC team that has hopes for a good season, you can’t lose to Florida Atlantic.

— Drake 77, Northern Arizona 71
NAU led by nine with 9:26 left in the game.
Drake is on its third coach in three years; they had five guys score in double figures.

— Again, today was the first step on a very long journey thru this season; it’ll be fun to follow. 

Bills 28, Chiefs 21
Buffalo scored 41-30-31-31-28 points in its wins.
Bills were held to 20-14 points in their losses.
Buffalo was 7-12 on third down, Chiefs 3-13.
Bills are 13-4-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or less points.

Buffalo led 21-13 at halftime.
Chiefs in 2nd half: 29 plays, 111 yards, 7 points.
Chiefs ran the ball 20 times for 79 yards.
Kansas City is 4-1 when it scores 28+ points, 1-3 when it doesn’t. 

Panthers 16, Packers 13
Fitzgerald made a 49-yard FG at the gun to post a big upset.
RB Dowdle ran ball 25 times for 130 yards, two TD’s.
Packers gained 211 yards in 1st half, but were only 2-3 on FG’s.
Green Bay is 0-2 when they score less than 27 points.

Carolina won four of its last five games.
Packers outgained Carolina 369-265, scored only one TD.
Green Bay lost star TE Kraft (knee) in the third quarter.
Tough loss for Packers on QB Love’s 27th birthday. 

Bears 47, Bengals 42
Williams threw a 58-yard TD pass to rookie Loveland with 0:17 left.
Bengals had scored two TD’s in 0:49 span to grab a 42-41 lead.
Cincinnati ran the opening kickoff back for a TD.
Total yardage in game: Bears, 576-495

Last three games, Bears allowed 31-39-47 points.
Rookie TE Loveland caught six passes for 118 yards, two TD’s.
Chicago won five of its last six games.
In wins, Chicago is +16 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.

Broncos 18, Texans 15
Denver drove 48 yards, kicked a 34-yard walk-off field goal at the gun.
Broncos won their last six games, four by 4 or less points.
Denver’s first 8 drives: 35 plays, 126 yards, 7 points.
Denver’s last 5 drives: 28 plays, 145 yards, 11 points. 

Houston’s first 8 drives: 57 plays, 207 yards, 15 points.
Going 5-6 on field goals with no TD’s makes it hard to win.
Texans are 0-5 when they score less than 26 points.
Houston is 0-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.

Seahawks 38, Commanders 14
Washington QB Daniels dislocated his left elbow late in the game.
Darnold was 16-16/282 on his first 16 passes.
Seattle scored two TD’s in an 0:11 span in the second quarter.
Seahawks won/covered six of last seven games.

Seattle outgained the Commanders, 418-290.
Washington lost its last four games, giving up 25-44-28-38 points. 
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in seven of last eight games.
Commanders are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.

Vikings 27, Lions 24
Vikings won in Detroit for first time in five years.
Vikings’ first two drives: 12 plays, 100 yards, 14 points.
Minnesota is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight NFC North road games.
Last six Minnesota games went over the total.

Detroit scored 37 points/game in its wins, 13-17-24 in losses.
Lions converted 5-17 third down plays, but 3-3 on 4th down.
Detroit ran the ball 20 times for only 65 yards.
Lions committed 10 penalties for 76 yards. 

Famous birthdays, November 3rd:
Dwight Evans, 74
Phil Simms, 70
Dolph Lundgren, 68

Paul Quantrill, 57
Darren Sharper, 49
Damien Woody, 4t

Tyler Hansbrough, 40
Kyle Seager, 38
Jake LaRavia, 24

Patriots 24, Falcons 23
Falcons scored TD with 4:40 left, but missed the PAT.
Patriots won their last six games (5-1 ATS).
Patriots’ first three drives: 30 plays, 217 yards, 21 points.
Patriots rest of game: 38 plays, 125 yards, 3 points. 

Last three games, Falcons ran ball 53 times for only 178 yards.
Atlanta is 2-0 if its scores 24+ points, 1-5 if it doesn’t.
Falcons’ first five drives: 36 plays, 114 yards, 7 points.
Atlanta is 0-5 when Bijan Robinson runs for less than 75 yards.

Chargers 27, Titans 20
Titans scored on a pick-6 on Chargers’ 2nd offensive play of the game.
Later in 1st quarter, Titans ran a punt back 67 yards for another TD.
Tennessee’s offense: 44 plays, 206 yards, 1-9 on 3rd down, 2 FG’s/9 drives.
Titans were held under 300 TY in seven of nine games.

Last four games, Chargers scored 29-24-37-27 points.
Chargers were 7-13 on third down, Tennessee 1-9.
Bolts outgained Tennessee, 343-206.
QB Herbert threw for 250 yards, ran nine times for 57 more. 

Steelers 27, Colts 20
Colts turned ball over six times (3 fumbles, 3 INTs)
Steelers are 4-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Steelers are 14-5-1 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
Pittsburgh is 11-6 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.

Indy scored 29+ points in its wins, 20-20 in losses.
Steelers’ first three drives: 10 plays, 9 yards, no points.
Steelers’ next three drives: 26 plays, 145 yards, 17 points.
Colts converted 6-14 third down plays, 5-5 on fourth down.

49ers 34, Giants 24
49ers ran for 159 yards, only 2nd time in last eight games they had 100+ YR.
McCaffrey ran ball for 106 yards and TD, had 67 receiving yards and TD
49ers’ first four drives: 30 plays, 191 yards, 17 points.
49ers are 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.

Last three games, Giants gave up 33-38-34 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants went over their team total in five of Dart’s six starts.
Giants drove 64 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Next five drives: 18 plays, 29 yards, no points.

Rams 34, Saints 10
Rams are 6-0 when they give up less than 26 points.
Last three games, Rams allowed one TD, one FG on 19 drives.
Rams first four drives: 29 plays, 219 yards, 20 points.
Rams first two drives of 2nd half: 26 plays, 132 yards, 14 points.

QB Stafford threw for 281 yards, four TD’s.
LA ran the ball 43 times for 171 yards, a big improvement.
Rams are 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite.
Rams outgained New Orleans, 438-224

 Jaguars 30, Raiders 29 OT
Raiders scored TD with 0:16 left in OT, failed on 2-point conversion.
Raiders had a 95-yard TD drive in first half, missed the PAT.
Jaguars’ first three drives: 29 plays, 102 yards, no points.
Jaguars rest of game: 51 plays, 265 yards, 30 points.

Jags’ K Little kicked a 68-yard FG, an NFL record.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in wins, 20-41-25-40-31-30 in losses.
Raiders ran for 106 or fewer yards in seven of eight games.
QB Geno Smith is 42-50 as an NFL starter.