2025-26 College basketball
NCAA Tournament
Saturday’s games
Michigan (-12.5) vs Saint Louis (@ Buffalo)
Michigan (32-3)
Wolverines won 18 of their last 20 games.
Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-4 ATS in 2nd round games.
Michigan has #7 eFG% in country, #3 eFG% defense.
Wolverines played 8 guys Thursday, none more than 27:00.
Michigan is 16-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Michigan is 11-0 in non-conference games.
KenPom rating: 3
Tempo: 22
Experience: 47
Continuity: 116
Michigan is in NCAA’s for 8th time in 10 years; they made Sweet 16 last year.
Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four in 2023
Saint Louis (29-5)
Billikens are 5-4 in last nine games (scored less than 70 in last 3 losses)
No Billikens played more than 28:00 in Thursday’s win.
Saint Louis has #2 eFG% and #1 eFG% defense.
Saint Louis is 13-1 in non-conference games.
Billikens are 7-2 vs teams in the top 100
Billikens are shooting 59.6% inside arc (#12)
KenPom rating: 32
Tempo: 19
Experience: 32
Continuity: 173
Saint Louis is in the NCAA’s for first time since 2019.
Michigan State (-4.5) vs Louisville (@ Buffalo)
Michigan State (26-7)
Michigan State is 11-1 in non-conference games.
In their last three losses, Spartans allowed 92-90-88 points.
Michigan State is best rebounding team in country.
Michigan State had stress-free win Thursday (up 20 at half)
Spartans are 10-6 vs teams in the top 50.
Last three years, #3-seeds are 0-6 ATS vs #6-seeds in second round.
KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 238
Experience: 197
Continuity: 51
Last four years, Spartans are 2-2 SU in second round games.
Louisville (24-10)
Cardinals won four of their last five games.
Louisville played three guys 30:00+ in Thursday’s win
Check status on Louisville star Mikel Brown (missed last five games).
Cardinals shot 13-25 on arc vs USF Thursday; they have #13 eFG%.
Louisville is 9-9 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Louisville is 11-2 in non-conference games.
KenPom rating: 20
Tempo: 58
Experience: 16
Continuity: 183
Louisville made NCAA’s LY, for first time since 2019; their last tourney win was in 2017.
Duke (-11.5) vs TCU (@ Greenville, SC)
Duke (33-2)
Blue Devils won their last 12 games.
Duke was down 13 to Siena Thursday; lackluster effort.
Four Duke starters played 32+ minutes.
Duke has #19 eFG%, #12 eFG% defense in the country.
Duke is 14-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Blue Devils are shooting 60.8% inside arc (#8)
KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 287
Experience: 310
Continuity: 169
Scheyer is 2-1 SU/ATS in second round games.
TCU (23-11)
Horned Frogs won 10 of their last 12 games.
TCU played two guys more than 29:00 in Thursday’s win.
TCU is 11-3 in non-conference games.
Horned Frogs force turnovers 19.4% of time (#35)
TCU is 8-6 vs teams in the top 50
Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-4 ATS in 2nd round games.
KenPom rating: 43
Tempo: 171
Experience: 100
Continuity: 191
Last 30 years, TCU is 0-2 in second round games.
In his career, Dixon is 3-7 in second round games.
Houston (-10.5) vs Texas A&M (@ Oklahoma City)
Houston (29-6)
Cougars won six of their last seven games.
Houston had easy win Thursday, beating Idaho by 31.
Houston is 13-1 in non-conference games (lost to Tennessee by 3)
Cougars force turnovers 20.8% of time (#12)
Last two years, #2-seeds are 6-2 ATS in second round.
Houston is 10-6 vs top 50 teams.
KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 350
Experience: 92
Continuity: 44
Houston has made it to at least Sweet 16 in last six tournaments.
Texas A&M (22-11)
Aggies are 5-3 in their last eight games.
Only one Aggie played 25:00+ in Thursday’s win
Aggies are 7-8 vs teams in the top 50
A&M is 11-3 in non-conference games.
Aggies are shooting 36.2% on arc (#52)
37% of their points come on 3’s (#49)
KenPom rating: 34
Tempo: 39
Experience: 8
Continuity: 340
Texas A&M is in the NCAA’s for 4th year in row.
Houston beat Texas A&M 70-66 in pre-conference game two years ago.
Gonzaga (-6.5) vs Texas (@ Portland, OR)
Gonzaga (31-3)
Zags won nine of their last ten games.
Gonzaga played three starters 34:00+ in Thursday’s 73-64 win.
Gonzaga is 13-1 in non-conference games (lost by 40 to Michigan)
Gonzaga has #24 eFG% and #10 eFG% defense.
Zags are 7-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Last three years, #3-seeds are 4-0 ATS vs #11-seeds in second round.
KenPom rating: 12
Tempo: 114
Experience: 6
Continuity: 167
Gonzaga won six of last seven second round games.
Texas (20-14)
Texas won Tuesday in Dayton, here in Portland Thursday.
Longhorns played four starters 32:00+ Thursday.
Texas gets 24.1% of their points on foul line (#20)
Texas is 11-4 in non-conference games.
Longhorns are 8-11 vs teams in the top 50
Sixth year in row in NCAA’s for Texas (6-5)
KenPom rating: 33
Tempo: 212
Experience: 4
Continuity: 123
Sixth year in row in NCAA’s for Texas (6-5)
Illinois (-11.5) vs VCU (@ Greenville, SC)
Illinois (24-8)
Illinois is 5-5 in its last ten games (4/5 losses in OT).
Illini is the tallest team in the country.
Illini is 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 50 (1-5 last six).
Illinois is 10-2 in non-conference games.
50.6% of Illinois’ shots are 3’s (#13)
38.9% of their points come on 3’s (#25)
Illini is shooting 34.9% on arc (#127)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 276
Experience: 130
Continuity: 70
In Underwood era, Illinois is 1-3 in second round games.
VCU (28-7)
VCU won seven in a row, 17 of last 18 games.
VCU was down 19 Thursday, rallied to beat North Carolina.
Rams played five guys 31:00+ Thursday.
VCU is 10-4 in non-conference games.
Rams are 2-5 vs teams in the top 50
VCU is shooting 36.9% on arc (#31); 43.6% of their shots are 3’s
KenPom rating: 42
Tempo: 117
Experience: 134
Continuity: 237
VCU is in second round for first time since 2016.
Vanderbilt (-1.5) vs Nebraska (@ Oklahoma City)
Vanderbilt (27-8)
Vanderbilt won five of its last six games.
Commodores played 7 guys (four of them 32:00+) in Thursday’s 78-68 win
Vandy was down 11 points early, outscored McNeese 40-33 in 2nd half
Vandy has #32 eFG% in the country.
Commodores are 10-8 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Vandy gets 21.5% of its points on foul line (#88)
KenPom rating: 11
Tempo: 101
Experience: 18
Continuity: 95
Vandy hasn’t been in the Sweet 16 since 2007.
Nebraska (27-6)
Nebraska is 5-2 in its last seven games.
Cornhuskers had easy win Thursday, beating Troy 76-47
Nebraska is 12-0 in non-conference games.
51.1% of Nebraska’s shots are 3-pointers (#9).
Nebraska gets 41.3% of its points on 3’s (#12)
Last three years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS #4-5 seed games in 2nd round.
KenPom rating: 13
Tempo: 224
Experience: 27
Continuity: 165
Thursday was Nebraska’s first-ever win (1-8) in an NCAA Tournament game.
Arkansas (-11.5) vs High Point (@ Portland, OR)
Arkansas (27-8)
Razorbacks won their last six games (two in overtime).
Arkansas played six guys Thursday in stress-free, 97-78 win
Razorbacks won SEC tournament Sunday afternoon.
Arkansas is 10-3 in non-league games (all 3 losses to top 10 teams)
Razorbacks are 16-0 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
Arkansas has #17 eFG% in country.
KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 20
Experience: 140
Continuity: 90
Since 2021, Arkansas has two Sweet 16’s/two Elite 8’s.
High Point (31-4)
High Point has won its last 15 games.
Panthers were down 8 with 5:23 left Thursday, upset Wisconsin, 83-82.
High Point played four guys 30:00+ Thursday.
High Point’s losses were by 17-2-8-17 points.
Panthers force turnovers 21.7% of the time (#5)
Since 2017, #12-seeds are 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in second round.
Heard that High Point’s NIL payroll is $4M, funded by one guy.
KenPom rating: 88
Tempo: 44
Experience: 36
Continuity: 260
High Point was in NCAA’s last year; they lost 75-63 to Purdue, as a 13-seed.
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