2025 NFL
Week 15
Thursday’s game
Falcons @ Buccaneers (-4.5)
Falcons (4-9)
Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games.
Falcons are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 1-9 when it allows more than 14 points.
QB Cousins is 85-80-2 as an NFL starter, 8-10 with Falcons.
Morris is 33-56 as a head coach.
Atlanta is 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a road dog (3-1 TY).
Falcons are 10-13-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta went over its team total in five of its last six games.
Falcons were outscored 31-3 in LW’s 37-9 home loss to Seattle.
Over is 5-1 in last six Atlanta games.
Buccaneers (7-6)
Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games, after a 5-1 start.
Last 12 games, Tampa Bay is +9 in turnovers.
Bucs are 5-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Mayfield is 59-62 as an NFL starter, 27-23 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 61-74 as a head coach, 35-33 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 6-7-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Last three games, Bucs gained only 257.7 yards/game
Bucs are 5-2 in games decided by six or fewer points.
Over is 5-1 in Tampa Bay’s home games this year.
Tampa Bay (-1.5) won 23-20 at Atlanta in Week 1
Atlanta outgained the Bucs 358-260 in that game.
Falcons won three of last four series games.
Falcons won 31-26/16-13 in their last two visits to Tampa.
Over is 9-4 in last thirteen meetings.
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Big Dawg’s NFL picks
Selections are posted on Saturday
2025 record: 22-24, minus 132
2024 record: 25-28-1, minus 174
2023 record: 30-23-1, plus 141
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Armadillo’s NFL picks
Selections are posted on Saturday
2025 record: 5-6, minus 48 bosellis
2024 record: 6-6, minus 18 largents ______________________________
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