Sunday’s Den: Trends for Week 1 NFL matchups……

Early season trends for Week 1 NFL matchups:

— Cowboys @ Eagles
Dallas is 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS in its last six road openers.
Since 2007, Cowboys are 14-4 ATS in road openers.
Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine road openers.

This is first time Philly opened at home since 2019.
Last four years, Eagles are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1.
Eagles are 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five home openers

— Chiefs vs Chargers (@ San Paolo, Brazil)
Last ten years, Chiefs are 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS in Week 1.
Over is 7-1-1 in Kansas City’s last nine Week 1 games.

Last six years, Chargers are 5-1 SU in Week 1.
Last five years, under is 4-1 in their Week 1 games.

— Giants @ Commanders
Since 2011, Giants are 2-11 SU/2-10-1 ATS in Week 1.
Last eight years, under is 7-1 in their Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Giants are 5-9-1 ATS in their road opener.

Last seven years, Washington is 4-3 SU/ATS in Week 1.
Over is 4-2 in their last six Week 1 games.
Last five years, Commanders are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in their home opener.

— Cardinals @ Saints
Last six years, Arizona is 3-3 SU/6-0 ATS in its road opener.
Last seven years, under is 5-2 in their road openers.
Last six years, Cardinals are 2-3-1 SU/5-1 ATS in Week 1 games.

Since 2015, Saints are 4-6 SU/2-8 ATS in their home opener.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine home openers.
Last 11 years, New Orleans is 5-6 SU/2-9 ATS in Week 1 games.

— Dolphins @ Colts
Last four years, Dolphins are 4-1 SU/3-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Last 10 years, Miami is 6-4 SU/7-3 ATS in its road opener.
Under is 19-4 in their last 23 road openers. 

Since 2014, Colts are 0-10-1 SU/2-8-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven Week 1 games.
Last six years, Colts are 3-3 SU/4-2 ATS in home openers. 

— Raiders @ Patriots
Last six years, Raiders are 4-2 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2007, Raiders are 12-5-1 ATS in their road opener.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.

Last four years, Patriots are 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS in home openers.
Last seven years, under is 6-0-1 in their Week 1 games.
Under is 5-1 in their last six road openers.

Steelers @ Jets
Pittsburgh won/covered its last five road openers.
Under is 11-1 in their last dozen road openers.
This is 10th time in 11 years Steelers open on the road.

Last six years, Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Last two years, Jets won/covered their home opener.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers.

Panthers @ Jaguars
Last six years, Panthers are 1-5 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2009, Carolina is 5-11 SU/ATS in road openers.
Under is 8-4 in Carolina’s last 12 home openers.

Last 8 years, Jacksonville is 4-4 SU/5-3 ATS in Week 1.
Since 2012, Jaguars are 3-10 SU/ATS in home openers.
Jaguars’ last four home openers stayed under the total. 

Famous birthdays, July 27th:
Haven Moses, 79
Bob Klein, 78
Mack Calvin, 78
Brian Kingman, 72
Hugh Green, 65

Alex Rodriguez, 50
Max Scherzer, 41
DeMarre Carroll, 39
Ryan Tannehill, 37
Drew Rasmussen, 30

— Bengals @ Browns
Bengals started 0-1 in five of the last six seasons.
Under is 5-1 in their last six season openers.
Bengals are 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in last six road openers. 

Since 2005, Browns are 2-17-1 SU in Week 1 games.
Last six years, Browns are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS in home openers.
Over is 5-1 in their last six home openers.

— Buccaneers @ Falcons
Last six years, Bucs are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in Week 1 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU/ATS in its last ten road openers.
Over is 7-3 in Tampa Bay’s last ten home openers.

Last seven years, Falcons are 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2008, Atlanta is 12-5 SU/13-4 ATS in home openers.
Since 2004, under is 15-6 in their road openers.

— 49ers @ Seahawks
Since 2015, 49ers are 7-4 SU/6-5 ATS in Week 1 games.
49ers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road openers.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers. 

Seahawks started out 1-0 five of the last six years.
Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last nine home openers.
Under is 10-4 in their last 14 home openers.

— Titans @ Broncos
Last five years, Titans are 1-4 SU/ATS in season openers.
Under is 4-1 in their last five road openers.
Since 2012, Tennessee is 3-10 ATS in home openers.

Last six years, Denver is 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in Week 1 games.
Broncos’ last six home openers stayed under the total.
Last three years, Denver scored 16-16-6 points in its home opener.

— Texans @ Rams
Last six years, Texans are 1-5 SU/4-2 ATS in their road opener.
Under is 7-3 in its last ten road openers.
Last six years, Houston is 4-2 ATS in its season opener. 

Under McVay, Rams are 6-2 SU/ATS in home openers.
Rams won six of last eight season openers.
Over is 3-1 in their last four home openers.

— Lions @ Packers
Last four years, Detroit is 2-2 SU/4-0 ATS in Week 1 games.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight season openers.
Lions are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road openers.

This is first time since 2018 that Packers are at home in Week 1.
Since 2013, Green Bay is 12-0 SU/9-3 ATS in home openers.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight home openers.

— Ravens @ Bills
Last nine years, Ravens are 7-2 SU/ATS in Week 1.
Since 2008, Baltimore is 11-6 ATS in road openers.
Over is 12-5-1 in Ravens’ last 18 road openers.

Last eight years, Bills are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS in Week 1.
Last six years, Buffalo os 5-1 SU/3-3 ATS in home openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last ten road openers.

— Vikings @ Bears
Last nine years, Minnesota is 6-3 SU/ATS in Week 1 games.
Since 2017, Vikings are 1-5-1 SU/1-6 ATS in road openers.
Under is 10-1 in their last eleven home openers.

Last 11 years, Chicago started season 0-1 eight times.
Last five years, Bears are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in home openers.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight home openers. 

Friday’s Den: Umpire trends, and some other stuff…….

Before I start today, the Home Run Derby after the All-Star Game was fun, but there is no way on God’s green earth that this should become a permanent thing in baseball. No chance.

It is good gimmick for exhibition games, that’s it. 

Umpire trends for the baseball season so far:
Home plate umps with lot of runs scored in their games:
over 13-4- Hanahan

over 12-4- Barrett, Barry

over 13-5- Livensparger

over 12-6- Johnson

over 12-7- Fletcher

over 10-5- Bellino

over 10-6- Additon

over 12-8- Wolcott

Home plate umps with not a lot of runs scored in their games:
under 11-1- Ramos

under 14-4- Hudson, Blaser

under 13-4- Libka

under 12-4- Emil Jimenez

under 12-5- Bacchus, Segal, Tichenor

under 13-6- Lentz

under 12-6- Cuzzi

under 11-5- Scheurwater

Home plate umps where home teams have done well:
home 15-4- Clemons

home 13-3- Ceja

home 12-4- Bucknor, Ramos

home 12-5- Blakeney

home 13-6- Diaz

home 12-6- Gibson, Hudson

home 11-5- Barry

Home plate umps where road teams have done well:
road 13-6- DeJesus
 
road 12-6- Blaser

road 8-3- Valentine

road 11-6- Edwin Jimenez

road 13-8- Carapazza, Morales

road 10-6- Dreckman

Movie of the Day: The Fabulous Baker Boys (1989)- The lives of two struggling musicians, who are brothers, inevitably change when they team up with a beautiful, up-and-coming singer.

Jeff/Beau Bridges are the brothers, Michelle Pfeiffer is the singer, and she sings all her own songs in the movie. This is a very good movie.

— Notes for the Dallas Cowboys:
Dallas went 7-10 LY, fired Mike McCarthy, after they made the playoffs the three years before that. Brian Schottenheimer is the new head coach. Dallas hasn’t played in the NFC title game since 1995.

This year, Dallas is #1 in NFL in $$$ spent on offensive players (#2 at QB).
Dallas is #13 in NFL in $$$ spent on defensive players

Last year, Cowboys were minus-6 in turnovers (22-28)
Last year, Cowboys were +14 in sacks (52-38)

Dallas was 2-5 LY in games decided by 9+ points, 5-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Cowboys were favored in only 3 of 17 games last year.

Last two years, Dallas is 6-12 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, over is 11-6 in their home games.

Famous birthdays, July 18th:
James Brolin, 85
Joe Torre, 85
Dick Shiner, 83
Wally Walker, 71

Audrey Landers, 69
Mike Greenwell, 62
Jeff Lageman, 58
Anfernee Hardaway, 54

Torii Hunter, 50
Eugenio Suarez, 34
Dinelson Lamet, 33
Kyle Manzardo, 25

— Pittsburgh Steelers signed TJ Watt to a 3-year deal oath $123M, making him the highest paid non-QB in NFL history.

— Washington Commanders signed 36-year old Von Miller  to a one-year deal; he played for the Bills the last three seasons. Washington already had the oldest roster in the NFL, now they’ve gotten a little bit older.

— Damian Lillard signed a 3-year, $42M deal to return to the Portland Trailblazers, where he played the first eleven years of his career. Lillard is rehabbing from a torn Achilles he suffered in the first round of the playoffs, so he’ll be out next season.

— If you hear that an NBA player signs a “two-way contract” with a team, it means he will be paid $578,577 for that season, which is half the minimum salary for an NBA player. He’ll split his time between the G League and the NBA.

— If the Tampa Bay Rays make the playoffs, they can host playoff games at their temporary home, a minor-league stadium with a seating capacity of 10,046 that the Bronx Bombers use for their spring training games. 

Thursday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Tuesday was a good night for baseball; the All-Star Game was interesting, the new ball/strike challenge system was a success and the game had an interesting, albeit weird ending. 

Home Run Derby is a good way to decide the outcome of an exhibition game, especially since one of the teams was out of pitchers. What was weird is that apparently, the players didn’t know the Home Run Derby was going to happen, until like 10 minutes before it happened.

Would’ve been better TV if Aaron Judge/Shohei Ohtani had been in the Home Run Derby, but they were long gone by then. Tough loss if you bet on the American League, losing a bet that way, when no one even knew Home Run Derby was an option.

In the future, I’d kind of want the option to take a push on the bet if the game goes to extra innings. With live betting so prevalent, that should be a choice.

— Dan Iassogna was the home plate umpire for the All-Star Game; does that mean he has graded out the best out of all the umpires this season?

— Corbin Carroll is the first Diamondback to homer in an All-Star Game; Brett Rooker is the first A’s player since Terry Steinbach in 1988 to homer in an All-Star Game.

— In the history of the Chicago Cubs, three players have hit three home runs in a game against the St Louis Cardinals:
1939- Hank Leiber
2003- Moises Alou
2025- Michael Busch

I mention this because all three of those games happened on the 4th of July.

— If you’re looking for a hitter to add in your fantasy baseball league, Giancarlo Stanton has four homers, 10 RBI in his last nine games, with six runs scored, two walks. He is rostered in only 47% of CBS fantasy leagues.

— Major League home run leaders, over the last 365 days:
59- Aaron Judge
57- Shohei Ohtani
52- Cal Raleigh
51- Eugenio Suarez
49- Kyle Schwarber

Schwarber is the first Phillies player since Johnny Callison in 1964 to be MVP of an All-Star Game.

Famous birthdays, July 17th:
Don Kessinger, 83
David Hasselhoff, 73
Scott Norwood, 65
Bobby Thigpen, 62
Frank Stams, 60

Calbert Cheaney, 54
Kevin Curtis, 47
Mason Rudolph, 30
OG Anunoby, 28
Noah Cameron, 25

Today would’ve been the great actor Donald Sutherland’s 90th birthday.

— It takes ten fouls to foul out of an NBA Summer League game, which is a lot, but it has happened this year.

Memphis Grizzlies rookie Jahmai Mashack, who played college ball at Tennessee, played 23:00 in a summer league game this week, scoring 5 points, dishing out 9 assists, grabbing 4 rebounds, all while he committed 10 fouls. It was a very busy 23 minutes for him. 

It was also a productive 23:00-; Memphis was +6 in the 23:00 that Mashack played.

— Grizzlies head coach Tuomas Iisalo is also coaching their summer league team, which is very unusual, but Iisalo only coached nine games with Memphis last year, so he is getting his footing as an NBA head coach.

— Dallas Mavericks rookie Joan Beringer has looked pretty good in summer league, but he’s only played basketball for four years, starting when he was 14 years old and grew out of his soccer cleats while growing up in France.

— Mavericks shut down rookie Cooper Flagg after his second summer league game, after h scored 31 points in that game, after he shot 5-for-21 in his debut. Not really sure why they shut him down; he could use the experience, but maybe they just used his 31-point game to try and promote their new star get fans to buy season tickets

— Wednesday, Bulls beat Milwaukee 102-96 in a Summer League game. 

Chicago’s coach was Billy Donovan III, whose father is the Bulls’ head coach. 

Milwaukee’s coach was Spencer Rivers, whose father is the Bucks’ head coach.

— Former Marquette/Indiana coach Tom Crean is great as an analyst on TV; has been fun listening to him on summer league games, Sean Farnham, Isiah Thomas have been good too; they just talk about basketball, with a minimum of nonsense.

— It has been hot around here the last couple weeks; there is a convenience store near my house that makes great milkshakes, so I go there a few times a week. Was in there Tuesday and there is a guy in there wearing a Willie Stargell Pirates’ number 8 jersey.

There is no way this guy was alive when Stargell was playing (he retired in 1982) but it was pretty cool to see anyone wearing a Pirates’ jersey these days.

— I love game shows; was glad to see that ABC is bringing Match Game back, with Martin Short as the new host.

— Notes for the Cleveland Browns:
Kevin Stefanski is 40-44 in four years with the Browns, 3-14 last year.

Browns has only 12 takeaways last year, were minus-22 in turnovers.
Browns gave up 66 sacks last year, were minus-25 in sacks. 

Former college QB Tommy Rees is the new OC; he was with Cleveland last year, was with Nick Saban at Alabama before that.

Last year, Browns were 3-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cleveland was 0-10 in games decided by more than 8 points.

Browns are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games as an underdog.
Cleveland is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games.

Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.

This year, Browns are #19 in NFL in $$$ spent on offensive players.
This year, Browns are #6 in NFL in $$$ spent on defensive players, #1 on CB’s.

— It is July 17th, NFL training camps will all be open soon, and the Saints/Browns don’t seem to know who their starting quarterback is going to be. Both teams have rookie QB’s who figure to take over at some point, but when? It is a difficult decision.

— Only two of 32 second round draft picks have signed their contract; Cincinnati is the only team that hasn’t signed its first round pick yet. 

Wednesday’s Den: AL teams’ record with each starting pitcher

AL teams’ records, by starting pitcher:
(thru All-Star break)

— Orioles (43-52)
Eflin 6-6
Morton 8-7 (7-1 last eight; under 8-2 last 10)
Kremer 9-9 (under 11-3 last 14)
Sugano 11-7 (under 12-3 last 15)
Povich 4-8
Young 1-5 (over 4-2)
Gibson 0-4 (over 3-1)
Rogers 4-2
McDermott 0-1
Akin 0-3 (opener)
Blewett 1-0 (opener)

— Red Sox (53-45)
Crochet 13-7 (under 14-6)
Houck 2-7 (over 5-1 last six)
Buehler 9-7 
Pitts 2-6 (under 6-2)
Newcomb 2-3 (over 4-1)
Dobbins 8-3
Bello 8-7 
Giolito 9-4 (over 4-0 last four)
Bernadino 0-1 (opener)

— White Sox (32-65)
Burke 7-10 
Cannon 4-9 (won last 3; over 7-2 last nine)
Smith 4-14 (0-5 last five)
Martin 3-10
Houser 6-3 (4-0 last four; under 9-0)
Wilson 3-2 (over 4-1)
Civale 0-6 (under 4-1-1)
Gilbert 1-2 (opener)
Eisert 1-2 (opener)
Shuster 0-2 (opener)
Vasil 0-3 (opener)
Taylor 0-1 (opener)
Leasure 0-1 (opener)
Perez 2-2

— Guardians (46-49)
Lively 7-2 (under 6-2 last eight)
Williams 9-10 (1-6 last 7; over 12-7)
Bibee 9-10
Ortiz 6-10 (under 9-3 last 12)
Allen 8-9 (under 6-2 last  eight)
Cecconi 5-5 (under 8-2)
Cantillo 2-1
Nikhazy 0-1
Allard 1-0

— Tigers (59-38)
Skubal 13-5  (over 4-1 last five)
Flaherty 6-13 
Olson 6-5
Jobe 9-1
Mize 11-5 (over 9-2 last 11)
Montero 6-1 (under 6-1)
Gipson-Long 1-1
Enns 1-1
Holton 2-3 (opener)
Hurter 2-2 (opener)
Guenther 0-1 (opener)
Brieske 0-1 (opener)

— Astros (56-40)
Valdez 14-5 (under 7-4 last 11)
Brown 13-6 
Arrighetti 1-1
Blanco 5-4 (under 5-1 last six)
Wesneski 2-4 (under 5-1)
Gusto 6-6
McCullers 5-4
Gordon 7-3 (under 7-3)
Walter 2-5
Blubaugh 0-1
Alexander 1-0

— Royals (47-50)
Ragans 5-5 (over 5-1 last six)
Lugo 9-8 (under 5-1 last six)
Bubic 10-8 (under 11-4 last 15)
Lorenzen 10-8 
Wacha 8-11 (1-6 last seven)
Cameron 4-8 (under 9-3)
Lynch 1-1 (opener)
Zerpa 0-1 (opener)

Famous birthdays, July 16th:
Ron Yary, 79
Ron Brewer, 70
Gary Anderson, 66

Terry Pendleton, 65
Phoebe Cates, 62
Charles Smith, 60

Will Ferrell, 58
Barry Sanders, 57
Aaron Glenn, 53

— Angels (47-49)
Kikuchi 10-10 (over 5-2 last 7)
Soriano 8-12 
TAnderson 12-7 (under 4-1 last five)
Hendricks 9-9 (over 6-2 last eight)
Kochanowicz 8-11

— Twins (47-49)
Lopez 7-4 
Ryan 9-9
Ober 8-9 (over 7-1-1 last nine)
Paddack 5-14
Woods-Richardson 8-6 (under 5-1 last six) 
Matthews 3-1
Festa 5-4 (under 4-1 last five)
Topa 0-1 (opener)
Sands 2-0 )opener)
Coulombe 0-1 (opener)

— New York (53-43)
Rodon 10-10 (over 3-0 last 3)
Fried 14-6
Warren 11-9 (under 5-2 last 7) 
Carrasco 2-4 (under 4-2)
Schmidt 7-7 (under 7-2 last nine) 
Stroman 4-2 (over 6-0)
Yarbrough 4-4
Schimmer 1-0
Winans 0-1

— A’s (41-57)
Severino 5-15 (over 10-3 last 13)
Springs 10-8 (under 5-1 last six)
Bido 4-5 (over 4-1 last five)
Sears 10-9 
Lopez 6-4 (under 6-1 last seven)
Spence 2-5
Hoglund 2-4 
Ginn 2-2 (under 3-1)
Estes 0-2
Sterner 0-1 (opener)
Holman 0-2 (opener)

— Mariners (51-45)
Gilbert 9-3 (over 6-2 last 8)
Castillo 11-8 (over 5-2 last seven)
Miller 4-6 (over 6-0 last six)
Woo 10-8
Kirby 6-4
Hancock 7-8 (over 4-1 last five)
Evans 4-5 (over 7-2)
JFCastillo 1-1 (opener)
Legumina 0-1 (opener)

— Rays (50-47)
Pepiot 8-12 (under 6-3 last nine)
Littell 10-9
Bradley 6-7 
Rasmussen 7-6 (under 11-2)
Baz 12-7 (under 4-0 last four)
Boyle 1-0

— Rangers (48-49)
Eovaldi 9-7 (under 12-4)
Leiter 5-11 
Mahle 7-7 (under 12-2)
deGrom 12-7 (over 5-1 last six) 
Rocker 6-5 (under 6-2 last 8)
Corbin 7-10 (over 5-1 last six)
Armstrong 1-1
Latz 2-0

— Blue Jays (55-41)
Berrios 12-8 
Gausman 11-8
Bassitt 12-7 (over 7-1-1 last nine)
Francis 4-10 (over 7-2 last nine)
Lucas 2-2
Scherzer 3-2 (over 4-1)
Lauer 6-2 (under 6-2)
Urena 1-1
Schultz 2-0 (opener)
Rodriguez 1-0 (opener)
Fisher 1-0 (opener)
Turnbull 0-1 (opener)

Tuesday’s Den: NL teams’ record with each starting pitcher

Teams’ records by starting pitcher:
(thru All-Star break)

Diamondbacks (47-50)
Gallen 9-11 (over 8-1 last nine)
Kelly 10-10 (1-4 last five home starts)
Burnes 6-5 (under 5-1 last six)
Pfaadt 10-9 (over 9-2 last 11)
Rodriguez 6-10 (over 10-3 last 13)
Nelson 6-4 (under 7-3)
DeSclafani 0-1

— Braves (42-53)
Sale 8-7 (under 8-3 last eleven)
Schwellenbach 12-5 (over 9-4 last 13)
Smith-Shawver 5-4 (under 7-2)
Holmes 7-12 (under 10-4 last 14)
Elder 6-9 (under 9-3 last 12)
Strider 3-8 (under 9-2)
Daniel 0-1
Lopez 0-1
Fuentes 1-3 (over 3-1)
Bummer 1-1 (opener)
Blewett 0-1

— Cubs (57-39)
Imanaga 8-4 (under 9-3)
Steele 3-1 (over 4-0)
Taillon 8-9
Boyd 11-8 (won last four; under 7-2 last nine)
Brown 7-7 (over 11-3)
Rea 12-4 (over 3-1 last four)
Horton 7-4 (under 6-3 last nine)
Flexen 0-1
Pomeranz 2-1 (opener)
Keller 1-0 (opener)

— Reds (50-47)
Greene 6-5 (under 8-2 last ten)
Lodolo 10-9 (under 6-1 last seven)
Abbott 12-4 (over 4-1 last five)
Martinez 7-12 (over 7-2 last nine)
Singer 10-9 (under 12-3 last 15)
Burns 1-3 (under 3-1)
Miley 2-0 (over 2-0)
Petty 0-2
Suter 2-1 (opener)
Spiers 0-2

— Rockies (22-74)
Freeland 3-14 (over 6-2 last 8)
Senzatela 5-13 (under 3-1 last four)
Marquez 6-13
Dollander 4-11 (under 8-1 last nine) 
Palmquist 1-6 (under 5-2)
Gomber 1-5 (under 3-1 last four)
Blalock 0-4
Feltner 1-5 (under 4-0 last four)
Gordon 1-2
Rolison 0-1 (opener)

— Dodgers (58-39)
Yamamoto 11-8 (under 4-1 last five)
Kershaw 7-3 (under 3-0 last three)
May 9-8 
Ohtani 3-2 (opener)
Snell 2-0 (over 2-0)
Glasnow 3-3 (under 3-1 last four)
Sheehan 1-1
Sasaki 6-2 (over 6-2)
Knack 5-2 (over 5-2)
Gonsolin 3-4
Wrobleski 0-2
Miller 1-0
Casparius 1-2 (opener)
Dreyer 4-1 (opener)
Sauer 1-0 (opener)
Trivino 1-1 (opener)

— Marlins (44-51)
Alcantara 7-11 (over 3-0 last three)
Quantrill 10-8 (under 10-2 last 1)
EPerez 5-2 (3-0, 0.50 last three)
Cabrera 8-8 (under 11-5)
Junk 4-1 (under 4-1)
Weathers 2-3
Mazur 0-1
Bellozo 1-4
Meyer 5-7 (over 7-1 last eight)
Gillispie 1-5 (over 5-1)
Gibson 1-0 (opener)
Veneziano 0-1 (opener)

— Brewers (56-40)
Peralta 13-7 (won last six; over 5-0 last five)
Woodruff 2-0
Patrick 5-13 (under 13-5)
Quintana 8-3 (under 9-2)
Priester 6-6 (under 8-4)
Misioroski 4-1
Myers 2-3
Rodriguez 0-2 (over 2-0)
Alexander 2-2 (over 3-1)
Henderson 3-1 (over 3-1)
Hall 3-0
Zastryzny 1-0 (opener)
Civale 3-2
Cortes 1-1

Famous birthdays, July 15th:
Billy Truax, 82
Jesse Ventura, 74
John Stallworth, 73
Lolita Davidovich, 64

Brigitte Nielsen, 62
Carnell Lake, 58
Khalid Reeves, 53
Damian Lillard, 35

Tobias Harris, 33
Masataka Yoshida, 32
Ramon Laureano, 31
Landon Knack, 28

— Mets (55-42)
Holmes 12-7 (over 3-1 last four)
Megill 6-8 (over 9-2 last 11)
Senga 10-4 (under 12-2)
Peterson 10-8 (home team 17-1)
Montas 2-2 (over 3-1)
Canning 12-4 (over 5-2 last seven)
Blackburn 1-3 (under 3-1)
Tidwell 0-2
Brazoban 1-2 (opener)
Devenski 0-1 (opener)
Haberman 1-0 
Waddell 0-1 (opener)

— Phillies (55-41)
Wheeler 13-6 (under 3-1 last four)
Luzardo 11-8 (over 6-2 last eight)
Suarez 8-5 (under 10-3)
Sanchez 14-5 (under 6-0 last six)
Walker 4-5 (under 4-1 last five)
Nola 3-6 (under 6-3)
Abel 3-3
Ross 0-1 (opener)
Banks 1-0 (opener)

— Pirates (39-58)
Skenes 9-11 (under 12-4 last 16)
Keller 6-16 (2-0, 2.11 last four; under 10-3 last 13)
Falter 10-9
Heaney 6-12 (over 3-1 last four) 
Burrows 3-5 (over 3-1 last four)
Mlodzinski 3-6 (under 4-1 last five)
Harrington 0-1
Ashcraft 1-0

— Cardinals (51-46)
Gray 15-4 (under 7-2 last nine)
Fedde 5-14 (2-9 last 11; under 5-2 last seven)
Mikolas 9-9 (over 6-2 last 8)
Liberatore 9-9 (over 7-2 last nine)
Pallante 9-9
Matz 2-0
McGreevy 2-1 (over 3-0)

— Padres (52-44)
Cease 9-10 (0-3, 7.88 last three)
Vasquez 12-7 (under 12-7)
Pivetta 12-7 (2-0, 0.71 last four)
Darvish 1-1
Bergert 5-1 (under 5-1)
Hart 3-3 (over 4-2)
Kolek 4-8 (under 5-2 last seven)
Waldron 0-1
Reynolds 0-1
King 5-5 (1-5 last six) (over 3-0-1 last four)
Morgan 1-0 (opener)

— Giants (52-45)
Ray 15-5 (under 12-4 last 16)
Webb 11-9 (under 6-2 last eight)
Verlander 4-11 (2-9 last eleven)
Roupp 11-8 (under 9-2 last eleven)
Birdsong 4-5 (over 5-1 last six)
Harrison 3-1 (under 3-1)
Hjelle 0-1 (opener)
Hicks 4-5 (over 7-2)

— Nationals (38-58)
Gore 8-11
Irvin 10-10 (over 5-1 last six)
Parker 9-10 (over 5-1 last six)
Williams 6-11 (under 4-1 last five)
Soroka 4-9 (over 5-0 last five)
Okasawaga 0-2
Lord 2-4

If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
NL: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Brewers, Mets, Padres

Monday’s Den: Trends for major league teams…….

Trends for major league teams
(thru All-Star break)

— Arizona (47-50)
Arizona is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
Over is 15-6 in their last 21 home games.
Arizona hasn’t scored in first inning in its last nine games.
Arizona is 8-19 in last 27 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Braves (42-53)
Braves is 5-12 in its last 17 games.
Atlanta is 9.5 games out of the last Wild Card spot.
Atlanta is 24-22 at home, 18-31 on the road.
Under is 25-11 in their last 36 home games.

— Cubs (57-39)
Chicago is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
Cubs lead NL Central by a game over Milwaukee.
Over is 8-2 in its last ten home games.
Cubs are 44-24 vs righty starters, 13-15 vs lefties.

— Reds (50-47)
Cincinnati is 4-1 in its last five games.
Terry Francona won his 2,000th game as a manager Sunday,
Reds are 37-30 vs righty starters, 13-17 vs lefties.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

— Rockies (22-74)
Colorado is 5-16 in its last 21 games.
Under is 13-7 in Rockies’ last 20 games.
Rockies are 3-23 vs lefty starters, 19-51 vs righties. 
Colorado is 6-3 in last nine games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Dodgers (58-39)
Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.
LA leads San Diego by 5.5 games in NL West.
Dodgers are 42-26 vs righty starters, 16-13 vs lefties.
Under is 12-5 in their last 17 games.

— Marlins (44-51)                                                                       )
Marlins are 21-13 in their last 34 games.
Miami is 20-27 at home, 24-24 on the road.
Under is 16-3 in Marlins’ last 19 home games.
Over is 8-4 in Marlins’ last 12 road games.

— Brewers (50-40)
Brewers won their last seven games, scoring 40 runs.
Milwaukee is 33-17 at home, 23-23 on the road.
Over is 7-0 in their last seven series openers.
Milwaukee would be the #1 NL Wild Card team right now.

— Mets (55-42)
Mets are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
Mets are 33-14 at home, 22-28 on the road.
Over is 19-9 in their last 28 games.
Mets are #2 Wild Card team right now, trail Philly by half-game in NL East.

— Phillies (55-41)
Phillies are 4-8 in their last 12 road games.
Phillies are 44-25 vs righty starters, 11-16 vs lefties.
Under is 14-5 in their last nineteen games.
Phillies are 11-4 in home series openers.

— Pirates (39-58)
Pirates had a 1-8 road trip the last three series.
Pittsburgh is 26-21 at home, 13-37 on the road.
Under is 10-2 in their last 12 games.
Pirates are 10-5 in last 15 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— St Louis (51-46)
St Louis lis 5-8 in its last 13 games.
Cardinals are 11-5 in home series openers.
St Louis is 29-20 at home, 22-26 on the road.
Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.

— Padres (52-44)
Padres are 8-8 in their last 16 games (starting pitchers have one win).
San Diego is 2-8 in its last ten series openers.
Under is 16-8 in their last 24 games.
San Diego leads Giants by half-game for the last Wild Card slot.

— Giants (52-45)
Giants ware 7-4 in their last 11 games.
Giants are 42-29 vs righty pitchers, 10-16 vs lefties.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
SF is 21-10 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Washington (37-53)
Nationals are 1-5 since they fired their general manager/manager.
Washington is 3-12 in its last fifteen home games.
Over is 18-3 in their last 21 games.
Washington is 17-7 last 24 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

Notes for the Cincinnati Bengals:
Bengals were 9-8 LY, 4-7 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Bengals were 1-3 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Cincinnati is 22-14 ATS in last 36 games as a favorite.
Bengals are 17-9 ATS on the road.

Last two years, over is 21-13 in Bengal games.

Bengals are #3 in NFL in $$$ spent on offense, #1 on WR’s, #26 on OL.
Bengals are #25 in NFL in $$$ spent on defense, #26 on DL

Famous birthdays, July 14th:
Ken Willard, 82
Steve Stone, 78
Ken Burrough, 73
Robin Ventura, 58
Tim Hudson, 50

Erick Dampier, 50
Darrelle Revis, 40
Carson Kelly, 31
Lucas Giolito, 31
Alaric Jackson, 27

— Orioles (43-52)
Baltimore is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
Orioles are 7-2 in their last nine series openers.
Orioles are 13-13 vs AL East foes, 30-39 vs everyone else.
Under is 26-14 in their last 40 games.

— Red Sox (53-45)
Red Sox won their last 10 games.
Boston is 12-19 in one-run games.
Over is 11-5 in their last sixteen games.
Red Sox are 16-9 in 25 games since trading Devers.

— White Sox (32-65)
Chicago is 2-6 in its last eight games.
White Sox are 21-29 at home, 11-36 on the road.
Under is 15-3 in their last 18 road games.
Chicago is 24-50 vs righty starters, 8-15 vs lefties.

— Cleveland (46-49)
Cleveland was 6-1 last week, after an 0-10 skid.
Guardians are 4.5 games out of the last Wild Card slot.
Guardians are 37-30 vs righty starters, 9-19 vs lefties.
Under is 19-9 in their last 28 games.

— Detroit (59-38)
Detroit lost its last four games, giving up 42 runs.
Tigers are 18-9 vs its AL Central rivals, lead division by 11.5 games.
Detroit is 13-3 in home series openers.
Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games.

— Houston (56-40)
Astros are 1-5 in last six games, lead AL West by 5 games.
Astros are 33-19 at home, 23-21 on the road.
Over is 8-4 in their last 12 road games.
Astros are 18-11 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Royals (47-50)
Royals won seven of their last 10 games.
Kansas City is 36-43 vs righty starters, 11-7 vs lefties.
Under is 11-3 in Royals’ last 14 home games.
Royals are 1-8 in last nine home series openers.

— Angels (47-49)
Angels are 5-7 in their last 12 games.
Halos are 13-5 in last 18 series openers.
Angels are 40-39 vs righty starters, 7-10 vs lefties.
Angels are 23-12 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Twins (47-49)
Twins are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
Minnesota is 28-20 at home, 19-29 on the road.
Twins are four games out of the last playoff slot.
Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games.

— New York (53-43)
New York is 11-18 in its last 29 games.
Over is 12-2 in their last 14 games.
Right now, New York is the #1 Wild Card in the AL.
New York is 42-32 vs righty starters, 11-11 vs lefties.

— A’s (41-57)
A’s are 8-6 in their last fourteen games.
Under is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.
A’s are 12-14 in one-run games, 6-3 in extra innings.
Last nine series, A’s are 6-0 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on..

— Seattle (51-45)
Mariners won their last three games, scoring 35 runs.
Seattle is 9-4 in its last thirteen home games.
Over is 18-4 in their last 22 road games.
Under is 12-5 in Mariners’ last seventeen home games.

— Tampa Bay (50-47)
Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 14 games.
Rays are 28-25 at home, 22-22 on the road.
Tampa Bay is 1.5 games out of the last Wild Card slot.
Rays are 1-7 in last eight games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Texas (48-49)
Rangers are 19-14 in their last 33 games.
Texas is 8-20 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Rangers are 26-19 at home, 22-30 on road.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

— Toronto (55-41)
Blue Jays won 11 of their last 14 games.
Blue Jays are 18-5 in their last 23 home games.
Over is 13-7 in their last 20 road games.
Toronto is 13-5 in last 18 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
NL: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Brewers, Mets, Padres

Thursday’s Den: Trends for NFC teams

Trends for NFC teams…….
Cardinals
Last three years, Arizona is 6-12 ATS in divisional games.
Last three years, Cardinals are 4-17 ATS in their last seven games.

Falcons
Last two years, Falcons are 12-22 ATS.
Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games vs Carolina.
Last nine years, Falcons are 2-7 ATS in season openers.

Panthers
Last two years, Carolina was 4-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Last six years, Panthers are 1-5 ATS in season openers.

Bears
Last four years, Chicago is 13-21 ATS as a road underdog.
Bears are 2-10 ATS in last dozen games against Green Bay.

Cowboys
Last four years, Dallas is 17-6-1 ATS in divisional games.
Last three years, Cowboys are 9-15 ATS as an underdog.

Lions
Last four years, Detroit is 17-6-1 ATS in divisional games.
Lions covered their last four season openers.
Detroit is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games vs Green Bay.

Green Bay
Last four years, Packers are 6-11 ATS as a road favorite.
Last ten years, Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in its home opener.
Packers are 18-11-1 ATS in last 30 games as an underdog.

Rams
Rams are 7-1 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Rams are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last two years, LA is 14-2 ATS in its last eight games of season.

Vikings
This year, Minnesota plays in Ireland in Week 4, then in England in Week 5
Vikings are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games vs Detroit.

Giants
Last two years, Giants are 12-18-2 ATS as an underdog.
Last eight years, Giants are 1-7 ATS in Week 1.
Last four years, Giants are 5-19-1 SU vs NFC East rivals. 

Saints
Last four years, New Orleans is 6-11 ATS as a home underdog.
Saints covered their last seven visits to Tampa Bay.

Eagles
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven visits to Dallas.
Last three years, Philly is 11-8-1 ATS vs NFC East rivals.

49ers
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in last seven games vs Seattle.
49ers are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

Seahawks
Last four years, Seattle is 9-20-1 ATS as a favorite, 6-13 at home.
Seahawks are 18-1-1 ATS at home, if they lost their previous two games. 

Buccaneers
Bucs’ star LT Tristan Wirfs (knee) will miss first month of season.
Baker Mayfield is 17-29-2 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, Bucs are 10-3 ATS as a road underdog.

Commanders
This year, Washington has four games vs teams coming off a bye week.
Last five years, Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their home opener.
Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last four visits to Dallas.

Famous birthdays, July 10th:
Hal McRae, 80
Bob Bailor, 74
Andre Dawson, 71
Darryl Talley, 65

Roger Craig, 65
Sofia Vergara, 53
Jared Dudley, 40
Lawrence Butler, 25

— Angels 11, Rangers 8
Texas led this game 8-6 in 7th inning.
Mike Trout homered twice for the Halos.
Jorge Soler had the game-winning HR in 8th inning.

— Guardians 4, Astros 2
Cleveland went to Houston on 10-game losing skid, then swept this game series.
Jose Ramirez homered for the third game in a row.
Angel Martinez homered for the second game in a row.

— White Sox 2, Blue Jays 1
Loss ends Toronto’s 10-game winning streak.
Blue Jays were 1-9 with runners in scoring position.
White Sox are 20-26 at home, 11-36 on the road.

— Diamondbacks 8, Padres 2
Arizona hit four HR’s, including Geraldo Perdomo’s grand slam.
Brandon Pfaadt threw eight innings for first time in his MLB career.
San Diego is 5-7 in its last 12 games.

— Brewers 3, Dodgers 2 (10)
Milwaukee tied game with a run in the ninth inning.
Dodgers have now lost six games in a row.
Tyler Glasnow allowed an unearned run in 5 IP, in his first start since April.

— Royals 4, Pirates 3
Salvador Perez homered twice for the Royals.
Royals have won five of their last six games.
Pirates lost their last six games, outscored 25-9.

— Phillies 13, Giants 0
Bryce Harper homered, hit three doubles.
Jesus Luzardo allowed three hits in 7 IP.
Justin Verlander remains winless in 15 starts this season.

If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Rays, Mariners
NL: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Mets,  Brewers, Giants

Wednesday’s Den: Trends for AFC teams…….

Trends for AFC teams…….
Ravens
Last two years, they’re 24-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Ravens are 11-4-1 ATS in last sixteen games as an underdog.

Bills
Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs Miami.
Last five years, Bills are 35-10 ATS in their last nine games of the season.

Bengals
Bengals are 14-6 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite.
Bengals are 14-5 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.

Browns
Cleveland is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
Last four years, Browns are 2-7 ATS as a road favorite.

Broncos
Denver covered its last eight games as a favorite.
Last four years, Broncos are 5-11 ATS in their last four games of the season.

Texans
Last five years, Houston is 6-13-1 ATS in Weeks 1-4.
Last four years, Texans are 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.

Colts
Since 2008, Colts are 2-15 ATS in Week 1
Last nine years, over is 8-1 in their Week 1 game.

Jaguars
Jaguars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against the Colts.
Last four years, Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS as a home favorite.

Chiefs
Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last four visits to Denver.
Kansas City is 8-2 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
Last eight years, Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in Week 1.

Raiders
Last four years, Las Vegas is 1-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs Denver.

Chargers
Last two years, Chargers were 9-4 ATS as road favorites.
Chargers covered four of their last five visits to Arrowhead.

Dolphins
Miami covered its last nine games against New England.
Last four years, Dolphins are 16-8-1 ATS vs AFC East rivals.

Patriots
Last two years, Patriots are 4-10-2 ATS at home.
Last three years, New England is 13-22-1 ATS as an underdog.

Jets
Last three years, Jets were 7-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Last four years, Jets were 8-15 ATS as a road underdog.

Steelers
Pittsburgh is 13-8 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 15-10 ATS in their last 22 divisional games.

Titans
Last three years, Titans were 4-12 ATS as a road underdog.
Last nine years, Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its home opener.

Famous birthdays, July 9th:
 Mike Riordan, 80
George Stone, 79
Jimmy Smits, 70
Willie Wilson, 70

Tom Hanks, 69
Jim Paxson, 68
Kelly McGillis, 68
Tom Ramsey, 64

Trent Green, 55
Damon Huard, 52
Enrique Murciano, 52
Miguel Montero, 42

— Giants 4, Phillies 3
Patrick Bailey hit a walk-off, 3-run inside-the-park home run to win the game.
Giants have won six of their last seven games.
Kyle Schwarber hit his 28th home run for the Phillies.

— Guardians 10, Astros 6
Angel Martinez hit a grand slam in the 10th inning.
Cleveland led 6-1 in the fifth inning.
Jose Altuve drove in four runs for the Astros.

— A’s 10, Braves 1
Lawrence Butler led off the bottom of the 1st with an inside-the-park homer.
Butler later homered again; Nick Kurtz hit a grand slam.
A’s led 9-0 after the second inning. 

— Padres 1, Diamondbacks 0
Luiz Arraez homered in 7th inning for the game’s only run.
Merrill, Tatis both robbed Arizona hitters of HR’s with great catches..
Nick Pivetta allowed five baserunners in 5.2 IP.

— Royals 4, Pirates 3
Nick Loftin hit a 2-run HR in 7th, walk-off single in 9th.
Royals have won five of their last six games.
Pirates lost their last five games, outscored 21-6.

— Marlins 12, Reds 2
Marlins have won their last eleven road games.
Eury Perez allowed only two baserunners in five IP.
Miami scored seven runs in the top of the third.

If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Rays, Mariners
NL: NY/Phil, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: NY/Phil,  Brewers, Giants

Sunday’s Den: Trends for SEC football teams

SEC football notes:
— Alabama
Since 2020, they’re 22-9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last seven years, Crimson Tide is +57 in turnovers.

— Arkansas
Pittman is 19-11 ATS as an underdog.
Razorbacks are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a favorite.

— Auburn
Since 2015, Tigers are 21-30-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Auburn lost its last four bowl games (favored in 3 of the 4)

— Florida
Napier is 12-18-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Napier is 23-10-1 ATS as an underdog.

— Georgia
Last four years, Dawgs were 8-16-1 ATS as home favorites.
Georgia is 4-11-1 ATS in last sixteen non-conference games.

— Kentucky
Last four years, Wildcats are minus-22 in turnovers.
Since 2019, Kentucky is 17-10-1 ATS as an underdog.

— LSU
Under Kelly, LSU is 14-6 ATS at home.
Tigers won five of last six bowl games, scoring 44.5 ppg.

— Ole Miss
Last two years, Rebels were 21-5 SU (+21 turnovers)
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 10-5-1 as a road favorite.

— Notes on the Baltimore Ravens:
Ravens are #21 in NFL in $$ spent on offense, #17 on defense.
Ravens are #4 in NFL in $$ spent on QB’s, #2 on RB’s
Ravens are #5 in NFL in $$ spent on linebackers

Baltimore was +6 in turnovers last year, with only 11 giveaways
Ravens were +30 in sacks last year (54-24)

Baltimore was 5-5 LY in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Baltimore was 7-0 LY in games decided by more than 8 points.

Last three years, Ravens are 17-8 ATS on the road.
Ravens are 19-10 ATS in last 29 games as a favorite.

Famous birthdays, July 6th:
Fred Dryer, 79
Jason Thompson, 71
Willie Randolph, 71
Joe Jacoby, 66
Kelly Stouffer, 61

Pau Gasol, 45
Jae Crowder, 35
Manny Machado, 33
Andrew Benintendi, 31
Brandon Lowe, 31

— Miss State
Last two years, Bulldogs are 7-17 SU
Since 2019, MSU is 2-13-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games.

— Missouri
Last two years, Tigers were 21-8 SU (+18 turnovers)
Last three years, Mizzou is 10-4 ATS on the road.

— Oklahoma
Last four years, Sooners are 3-10-1 ATS as road favorites.
Last three years, Oklahoma is 10-15-1 ATS in conference games.

— South Carolina
Coach Beamer is 14-6 ATS as a favorite.
Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games.

— Tennesssee
Since 2020, Tennessee is 4-14 ATS as an underdog.
Under Heupel, Vols are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite.

— Texas
Since 2016, Longhorns are 23-12-1 ATS in non-league games.
Coach Sarkisian is 10-18 ATS as a road underdog.

— Texas A&M
Coach Elko is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite, 2-6 as a road favorite.
Aggies are 3-10-2 ATS in their last fifteen road games.

— Vanderbilt
Since 2020, Vandy is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog.
Commodores are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 home games. 

Wednesday’s Den: Trends for NFL teams……

Notes for NFL teams:
NFC East
Dallas
Missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 1998, they’re 4-12 in playoff games.
17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.

NJ Giants
Missed playoffs 11 of last 13 years.
Last two years, went 6-11/3-14.
Last seven years, they’re 9-12 ATS in NFC East home games.

Philadelphia
Since 2017, they’re 10-5 in playoff games (2 Super Bowl wins)
Since 2018, Eagles are 19-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, over is 21-12 in Philly’s regular season home games.

Washington
LY, Commanders made playoffs for second time in last nine years.
Before last year, Washington’s last playoff win was in 2005.
Last year, over was 12-5 in Washington’s regular season games.

NFC North
Chicago
Last four years, Chicago went 21-47, missing playoffs every year.
Since winning Super Bowl 40 years ago, Bears are 6-12 in playoff games.
Last five years, Bears are 10-20 ATS in divisional games.

Detroit
Last three years, Detroit went 36-15 in regular season, 2-2 in playoffs.
In the entire Super Bowl era, Lions are 3-14 in playoff games (0-12 on road)
Lions are 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

Green Bay
Packers made the playoffs 12 of the last 15 years.
Since winning Super Bowl 15 years ago, Green Bay is 8-11 in playoff games.
Packers are 26-17-1 ATS in their last 44 games as a home favorite.

Minnesota
Vikings were 14-3 LY, but let QB Darnold walk anyway.
Since 2010, Minnesota is 2-6 in playoff games.
Vikings are 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.

NFC South
Atlanta
Falcons missed the playoffs the last seven years.
Since 2014, Atlanta is 20-40-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In their history, Falcons are 6-2 in home playoff games, 4-12 otherwise.

Carolina
Carolina missed the playoffs the last seven years.
In their history, Panthers are 9-8 in playoff games (5-2 at home)
Carolina’s last seven home games went over the total.

New Orleans
New Orleans missed the playoffs the last four years.
Since winning Super Bowl 16 years ago, Saints are 4-7 in playoff games.
Since 2014, Saints are 26-38-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers made the playoffs the last five years (27-24 last 3 years)
Tampa Bay is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Last three years, Buccaneers are 3-5-1 ATS in NFC South home games.

NFC West
Arizona
Cardinals missed playoffs the last three years, and eight of last nine.
Since making it to the Super Bowl 17 years ago, Arizona is 2-4 in playoff games.
Cardinals are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA Rams
In eight years under McVay, Rams made playoffs six times (1-1 in Super Bowl)
McVay has a 8-5 record in playoff games.
Rams are 4-8-2 ATS last 14 games as a non-divisional road underdog.

San Francisco
49ers missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 2012, 49ers made playoffs six times; they went WWL all six years.
49ers are 7-9 ATS in last sixteen games as a home favorite.

Seattle
Seattle missed playoffs 3 of last 4 years, after making it 12 of previous 16 years.
Since losing Super Bowl 11 years ago, Seahawks are 3-6 in playoff games.
Last year, Seahawks were 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven home games.

Famous birthdays, July 2nd:
Robert Ito, 94
Polly Holliday, 88
Larry David, 78
Joe Pisarcik, 73

Tony Armas, 72
Jon Sundvold, 64
Jose Canseco, 61
Steve Sparks, 61

Chad Henne, 40
Margot Robbie, 35
Derrick White, 31
Daulton Varsho, 29

AFC teams
AFC East

Buffalo
Since 2017, Bills are 86-45 SU in regular season, 7-7 in playoffs.
Buffalo is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 regular season games.

Miami
Dolphins made the playoffs twice in McDaniel’s three seasons as HC.
Dolphins lost their last six playoff games (last win, 2000)
Miami’s last six home games went over the total.

New England
Patriots made the playoffs once in five years since Brady left.
Vrabel’s is New England’s third HC in three years (4-13/4-13 last 2 years)
Patriots are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.

NJ Jets
Jets have had nine consecutive losing seasons, last made playoffs in 2010.
Jets haven’t played a home playoff game since 2002.
Since 2018, Jets are 7-14 ATS in AFC East home games.

AFC North
Baltimore
Lamar Jackson is 70-24 in regular season games, 3-5 in playoff games.
Ravens are 2-3 SU in last five home playoff games.
Last two years, Baltimore is 19-12 ATS as a favorite.

Cincinnati
Bengals went 9-8/9-8 last two years, but missed playoffs both years.
2021-22, Bengals went 22-11 in regular season, 5-2 in playoffs.
From 1991-2020, Cincinnati was 0-7 in playoff games.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games. 

Cleveland
Since returning to NFL, Browns are 1-3 in playoff games.
Cleveland made playoffs twice in last five years, were 3-14 LY.
Last year, Browns were 3-12 ATS in their last fifteen games.

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh made the playoffs eight of the last 11 years.
Steelers haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.
Steelers are 25-14 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

AFC South
Houston
Texans won AFC South last two years, six of last 10 seasons.
Texans are 6-1 in home playoff games, 0-6 in road playoff games.
Since 2019, Houston is 6-15 ATS as a home favorite.

Indianapolis
Colts missed playoffs last four years, and eight of last 10 seasons.
Last year, over was 7-1 in their last eight games.
Over is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.

Jacksonville
Jaguars made the playoffs once in last seven seasons.
In their history, Jacksonville is 8-8 SU in playoff games.
Since 2016, Jaguars are 10-3 ATS as a home dog vs AFC South rivals.

Tennessee
Last three years, Titans missed playoffs, going 16-35 SU
Tennessee is 5-4 SU in its last nine road playoff games.
Last year, Titans were 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS at home. 

AFC West
Denver
Broncos made playoffs last year for first time in nine years.
LY’s playoff loss in Buffalo was their first road playoff game since 2011.
Denver won/covered six of its last seven home games.

Kansas City
Last six years, Chiefs went 3-2 SU in Super Bowls.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 16-3 SU in playoff games.
Since 2020, Chiefs are 17-22 ATS as a home favorite.

Las Vegas
Raiders made the playoffs twice in the last 22 years.
Raiders haven’t won a playoff game since 2002.
Pete Carroll made playoffs in four of his last six years in Seattle.

LA Chargers
Chargers made playoffs two of last three years.
Jim Harbaugh is 55-25-1 SU as an NFL coach, 5-4 in playoff games.
Chargers’ last six regular season road games went over the total.