— I tell this story every year; NBA Summer League started Thursday in Las Vegas. You can bet on these games; my advice— DO NOT bet a lot of money on these games.
Few years ago, maybe 8-10 years ago, I’m sitting at the summer league with a buddy and two guys sit in front of us, just before a game is tipping off. One looked like a bodybuilder; very big guy, he was sipping on a mixed drink.
“I’ve got a sure thing in this game; they posted a bad line!!! Team A won by 20 yesterday, Team B lost, but this game is a pick ‘em.”
Oy.
1) they don’t post bad lines on games in Las Vegas
2) if it seems too good to be true, it probably is.
3) Teams don’t always go all out to win summer league games; they have to see their prospects play, all of them.
Game starts, and Team B gets off to a good start, then they start to pull away. Guy in front of is getting restless, cursing under his breath.
I came close to tapping him on the shoulder and explaining the thing about seeing prospects, but then I remembered the saying “they kill the messenger” so my buddy and I moved over to the section to our left. As Team B pummeled Team A, we could still hear the big guy cursing.
There is a reason those bright lights on the Strip stay lit 24 hours a day.
— Red Sox 2, White Sox 1
Caleb Durbin hit a two-run homer in the 4th inning.
Boston has won six games in a row, and 11 of 13.
White Sox have lost six of their last eight games.
— Mets 7, Royals 3
Tyrone Taylor homered during a five-run fifth inning.
Mark Vientos was hit by a pitch, broke his hand, is on the IL
This season, five different Mets have led off the first inning with a HR.
— Guardians 5, Twins 2
Gavin Williams allowed 3 hits, struck out 11 in 7 IP.
Cade Smith earned his 27th save for the Guardians.
Cleveland/White Sox are tied for first in AL Central.
— Braves 10, Pirates 5
Mike Yastrzemski hit a grand slam in 9th inning.
Matt Olson homered, playing in his 740th consecutive game.
Rookie SS Jim Jarvis had three hits, including his first MLB homer.
— Orioles 3, Cubs 2
Jeremiah Jackson hit a 2-run double in the bottom of the 8th.
Orioles didn’t have a hit in innings 3-7.
Seiya Suzuki knocked in both of Chicago’s runs.
— Famous birthdays, July 10th:
Hal McRae, 81
Andre Dawson, 72
Darryl Talley, 66
Sofia Vergara, 54
Cam Jordan, 37
Lawrence Butler, 26
Fred Gwynne, who played Herman Munster on TV, was born on this day in 1926.
Notes for Big X football teams:
Iowa State
New coach Rogers was 6-6 in his one year at Washington State.
Rogers won a national title at the I-AA level.
ISU has only 2 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Cyclones have 15 returning I-A starts on OL (have 5 I-AA transfers).
Senior QB Raynor started for three years at Arkansas State.
Last nine years, ISU had eight winning seasons.
Cyclones are 13-7-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
ISU is 6-12 ATS last 18 games as a road favorite.
Last 10 years, Cyclones are 30-18-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last three years, Iowa State was +21 in turnovers.
Kansas
Coach Leopold is 27-35 SU in five years at Kansas.
Last 10 years, Jayhawks have had one winning season.
Kansas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Jayhawks have 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Bellard threw 22 passes last year.
Under Leopold, Kansas is 9-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Leopold, Kansas is 8-14 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Leopold is 22-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Jayhawks won four of their last five bowl games (5-0 ATS)
Problem is, they’ve been in only two bowl games since 2008.
Kansas State
Klein is a first-year HC who played QB at K-State.
Wildcats haven’t had a losing season since 2020.
K-State has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wildcats have 50 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Senior QB Johnson has 25 career starts.
K-State is 15-8 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 1-9 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
K-State is 29-17 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
Last four years, Wildcats were +33 in turnovers.
K-State won three of its last four bowl games.
Oklahoma State
New coach Morris was 22-16 in three years at North Texas.
Cowboys were 3-9/1-11 the last two years.
Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
OSU has 117 returning starts on OL (lot of transfers).
Soph QB Mestemaker started 14 games at North Texas LY.
Last four years, OSU is 6-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Morris was 10-4 ATS as a home favorite at North Texas.
Last nine years, Cowboys are 15-10 ATS as a road favorite.
Cougars are 28-17-1 ATS in last 43 games coming off a win.
OSU won three of last four bowl games (last one in 2023).
TCU
In four years, coach Dykes is 36-17 SU at TCU.
Last two years, Horned Frogs went 9-4/9-4 SU.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 95 returning starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Craig is a transfer from Harvard (6,074 PY, 52 TD’s).
In his career, coach Dykes is 35-27 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, coach Dykes is 14-21-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 16-10 ATS in home games.
Horned Frogs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
TCU won three of its last four bowl games.
Texas Tech
Coach McGuire is 35-18 SU in four years at Tech.
Tech lost its last two bowl games, 39-26/23-0
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tech has 108 career returning starters on OL, from various places.
Junior QB Francis started 12 games at Tulsa.
McGuire is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
McGuire is 24-12 ATS in conference games.
Tech is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog.
Red Raiders were +14 in turnovers LY, when they were 12-2.
Tech is 17-5 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Utah
New HC Scalley was defensive coordinator here the last 10 years.
Last ten years, Utah has had nine winning seasons.
Utah has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utes have only 31 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Dampier threw 24 TD’s last year, only five INT’s.
Utah is 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
Last 10 years, Utes are 10-4 ATS as a road underdog
Last 10 years, Utes are 55-35 ATS in conference games.
Utah is 10-12 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Utes lost four of their last five bowl games.
West Virginia
Last five years, West Virginia had four losing seasons.
Coach Rodriguez is in 2nd year of his 2nd stint in Morgantown.
WVU has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
WVU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hawkins started five games at Oklahoma.
WVU is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Rodriguez is 23-19-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Rodriguez is 23-33 ATS as a road underdog
WVU is 10-4 ATS in last 14 non-conference games.
WVU is 2-3 SU/1-4 ATS in last five bowl games.