2026 NFL
Week 8
Sunday’s games
Cardinals @ Cowboys (-6.5)
Cardinals (2-5)
Cardinals gave up 30+ points in all five of their losses.
Both Arizona wins came in LA, vs Chargers/Rams.
Opponents scored 23 TD’s on their last 58 drives.
Brissett is 22-50 as an NFL starter.
Mike LaFleur is 2-5 as an NFL head coach.
Arizona is 12-6 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Four of their five losses were by 12+ points.
Cardinals have only one TD on their last 23 drives.
Over is 5-1 in their opponents’ last six team totals.
NFC West teams are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional road games.
Cowboys (3-4)
Short week for Dallas after Monday’s win in Philly.
Cowboys ran for 204 yards Monday, their most by far this year.
Last five games, Dallas is minus-4 in turnovers.
QB Prescott is 88-64-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 10-13-1 as a head coach.
Dallas scored 37-34-38 points in their three wins.
Under Schottenheimer, Cowboys are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Schottenheimer, Cowboys are 3-6 ATS in games coming off a win.
Opponents have converted 46 of 87 third down plays.
Four of last six Dallas games went over the total.
NFC East non-divisional favorites are 2-4 ATS.
Arizona won seven of last eight series games.
Cardinals won/covered last three visits to Dallas.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Falcons @ Buccaneers (-2.5)
Falcons (3-4)
Atlanta scored 35-45-29 points in wins, 23 or less in losses.
Falcons are 1-4 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Falcons were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses.
Penix Jr is 7-10 as an NFL starting QB.
Stefanski is 49-62 as an NFL head coach.
Last two weeks, Falcons ran ball for 63-82 yards.
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
As a head coach, Stefanski is 12-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Four of Falcons last five games went over the total.
Atlanta is 4-6 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
Buccaneers (2-5)
Tampa Bay won two of its last three games, after on 0-4 start.
Bucs’ losses are by 6-4-7-3-7 points.
Bucs are now 4-12 SU/2-14 ATS in their last 16 games.
QB Mayfield is 61-68 as an NFL starter.
Bowles is 64-82 as a head coach, 38-41 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay ran ball for 241-258 yards in their two wins.
Tampa Bay has lost all four home games SU this year.
Tampa Bay is 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Bucs are 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Buccaneers held last six opponents under 90 yards rushing.
Atlanta won four of last five series games.
Falcons won/covered their last three visits to Tampa Bay.
Over is 10-4 in last fourteen meetings.
Ravens @ Bills (-3)
Ravens (4-3)
Baltimore QB Jackson (ankle) practiced Wednesday (check status)
Last two games, Ravens led 10-0/13-0 at halftime.
Last two games, Ravens were outscored 13-0/35-0 in second half.
Backup QB Huntley is 8-12 as an NFL starter; Jackson is 82-37.
Minter is 4-3 as an NFL head coach.
Last five years, Ravens are 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Ravens are 3-2 ATS last five games coming off a loss.
Baltimore is 4-0 when they score more than 17 points.
Baltimore was outscored 114-51 in second half of first six games.
AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 2-3 ATS
Bills (5-1)
Buffalo is 3-1, scoring 36-41-24-26-37-33 points.
Bills gave up 29+ points in five of six games.
Buffalo’s last three games were all decided by three points.
QB Allen is 101-47 as an NFL starter
Joe Brady is 5-1 as an NFL head coach.
Bills are 18-16 ATS last 34 games as a favorite.
Bills are 4-6 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 post-bye games.
Buffalo allowed 386.8 yards/game in their first five games.
Five of their six games went over the total.
AFC East non-divisional favorites are 6-1 ATS.
Last year, Ravens lost 41-40 here in Week 1.
Bills won three of last four series games.
Ravens lost four of last five visits to Baltimore.
Under is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.
Browns @ Steelers (-3.5)
Browns (5-2)
First rematch of the NFL season.
Cleveland’s four wins are by 4-4-3-3-3 points.
Browns scored 10-12 points in losses, 23-21-27-13-27 in wins.
QB Watson is 43-38 as an NFL starter (14-12 with Cleveland)
Monken is 5-2 as an NFL head coach.
Browns are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Browns are 10-20 ATS last 30 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland was held under 275 total yards in five of seven games.
Their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
Browns are 2-9 ATS in last 11 AFC North road games.
Steelers (5-2)
Steelers won four of their last five games.
Steelers played in France last week; lot of travel.
Pittsburgh is 5-0 when they gain 300+ total yards.
Rodgers is 179-106-1 as an NFL starter.
McCarthy is 190-125-2 as a head coach.
Steelers are 8-7 ATS in last 15 games as a favorite.
Steelers are 4-7 ATS last eleven games coming off a win.
Last five games, over 4-1 in Steelers’ team total.
Last five games, over 4-1 in Steelers’ opponents’ team total.
Four of last five Pittsburgh games went over the total.
Browns (+3) upset Pittsburgh 27-24 at home in Week 4.
Cleveland kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
Cleveland won three of last four series games.
Browns are 0-5 SU/ATS last five visits to Pittsburgh.
Under is 9-7 in last sixteen meetings.
Colts @ Jaguars (-10)
Colts (2-5)
Colts traded two of their best linemen this week.
Colts gave up 17-13 points in wins, 41-33-34-26-16 in losses.
Colts gave up 33-34-16 points in their three true road games.
Jones is 35-55 as an NFL starter (10-10 with Colts).
Steichen is 28-31 SU as a head coach
Under Steichen, Colts are 12-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Colts are 19-20 ATS last 39 games coming off a loss.
Colts threw for only 64 yards last week. In a dome.
Colts are minus-9 in turnovers this season.
Three of their five losses are by six or fewer points.
Jaguars (4-2)
Jacksonville allowed 17 or fewer points in their wins.
Jaguars allowed 20-34 points in their losses.
Jaguars won their two games in Jacksonville, 34-10/35-6
QB Lawrence is 40-46 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 17-7 as an NFL head coach.
Under Coen, Jaguars are 9-4 ATS as a favorite.
Jaguars are 13-5-1 ATS last 18 AFC South games.
Jaguars are 2-4-2 ATS in their last eight post-bye games.
Jaguars are +5 in turnovers this season.
Opponents have converted 25 of 69 third down plays.
Jaguars won six of last seven series games.
Colts are 0-9 SU/1-8 ATS in last nine visits to Jacksonville,
Five of last six meetings went over the total.
Raiders @ Jets (-1.5)
Raiders (3-4)
Raiders lost last four games, 30-27/45-17/33-30/35-21.
Raiders lost their one outdoor game, 45-17 at New England.
Last four games, Las Vegas ran ball for 72-38-65-48 yards.
QB Cousins is 92-84-2 as an NFL starter.
Kubiak is 3-4 as an NFL head coach.
Raiders are 7-12 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog.
Raiders are 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Last five Raider games went over the total.
Opponents went over their team total in last five games.
Las Vegas went over their team total in six of seven games.
AFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 1-4 ATS.
Jets (2-5)
Jets lost five of their last six games.
Jets gave up 10-12 points in wins, 20-31-23-26-28 in losses.
Jets’ losses were by 3-7-11-7-3 points.
Geno Smith is 44-62 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 5-19 as a head coach.
Jets are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Jets are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Jets are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Last two games, Jets were outscored 35-10 in first half.
Jets are 2-0 when they run ball for more than 108 yards.
Raiders won four of last five series games.
Dolphins are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to New Jersey.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Vikings @ Lions (-3)
Vikings (6-0)
Vikings won their first six games, four of them by 6-7-5-6 points.
Vikings held last five opponents to 297-243-198-142-218 total yards.
Minnesota is +7 in turnovers this season.
Murray is 43-49 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 49-27 as an NFL head coach.
Vikings are 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 11-0 SU/8-2-1 ATS in its last eleven games.
Opponents have converted only 22 of 78 third down plays.
Vikings haven’t allowed a 4th quarter TD in their last 11 games.
Lions (4-2)
Detroit is 3-0 at home, winning by 1-7-3 points.
Lions scored 26+ points in five of their six games.
In their two losses, Lions were held to 66-46 rushing yards.
QB Goff is 97-68-1 as an NFL starter, 55-41-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 59-48-1 as an NFL head coach.
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Detroit is 20-14-2 ATS last 36 games as a home favorite
Lions are 0-7 ATS last seven games coming off a win.
Lions held 3 of last 4 opponents to 60 or fewer rushing yards.
Over is 4-2 in the Lions team total.
Over is 12-4 in Detroit’s last 16 games, 5-1 this year.
Lions are 6-4 in last ten series games.
Vikings are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen meetings.
Titans @ Bengals (-10)
Titans (1-5)
Tennessee is 1-6, scoring 10-20-7-13-3-24 points in losses.
Last week (322) was first time they gained 300+ total yards.
Tennessee has four losses by 6 or fewer points.
Robert Saleh is 21-42 as an NFL head coach.
QB Ward is 4-20 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 12-20-1 ATS in last 32 games as an underdog.
Titans are 5-5-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Tennessee is 9-14 in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Tennessee has scored ten TD’s on 65 drives (26 3/outs)
AFC South underdogs are 6-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals (4-2)
Bengals were down 13-0 at half last week, won 35-13.
Bengals are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Bengals were held under 100 rushing yards in 4 of last 5 games.
Burrow is 52-37-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 61-67-1 as a head coach.
Cincinnati is 14-13-2 ATS last ten games as home favorites.
Bengals are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Four of their six games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
Last four games, Bengals scored 14 TD’s on 34 drives.
AFC North non-divisional favorites are 8-5 ATS
Bengals won six of last eight series games.
This is Titans’ first visit to Cincinnati since 2020.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Chargers vs Rams (-6.5)
Sofi Stadium is home field for both teams
Chargers (0-6)
Chargers lost first six games, giving up 25.2 ppg
Chargers scored 14-14-17 points in three games at SoFi.
Last three games, Chargers are minus-5 in turnovers.
QB Herbert is 52-52 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 71-42-1 as an NFL head coach.
Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Chargers are 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games coming off a bye.
Overall, Bolts are 0-9 SU/0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
Last two games, Chargers gained 237-259 total yards.
Five of their six games stayed under the total.
Rams (3-4)
Rams are 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
Rams’ three wins were by 22-4-14 points.
LW In Las Vegas, Rams ran ball for 199 yards, their most this year.
QB Stafford is 56-35 as the Rams’ starter
McVay is 105-67 as an NFL head coach.
Rams are 24-15-1 ATS in last 40 games as a favorite.
Rams are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Rams are 9-2 ATS in last eleven games vs AFC teams.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
Teams split their last six meetings.
Over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.
Chiefs (-1.5) @ Broncos
Chiefs (5-1)
Chiefs lost 20-3 in Seattle LW, outgained 410-213.
Last 2 games, KC scored two TD’s on 20 drives.
Last 2 games, Chiefs scored 3-3 points in second half.
Mahomes is 117-36 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 312-175-1 as an NFL head coach
Chiefs road wins: 24-10 Dolphins/30-27 Raiders
Chiefs are 2-8 in last 10 games as a road favorite.
KC is 0-5-1 ATS in last six AFC West road games.
Chiefs are +5 in turnovers in five games.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
Broncos (5-2)
Denver won three in row, five of its last six games.
Four of Denver’s five wins were by 7 or fewer points.
Broncos gained less than 300 yards in five of seven games.
Payton is 199-120 as an NFL head coach, 38-23 with Denver.
QB Nix is 30-13 as an NFL starter.
Last three weeks, Denver outscored foes 40-15 in the first half.
Broncos are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC West home games.
Broncos are 14-10 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Under is 5-2 in Denver’s team total.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
Chiefs ran for 220 yards, beat Denver 31-10 in Week 1.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Chiefs are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Denver.
Under is 7-0 in last seven series games.
Patriots (-7) @ Dolphins
Patriots (4-3)
NE lost three of its four road games.
Patriots ran for 109 or fewer yards in losses, 136+ in wins.
NE is minus-7 in turnovers this season.
QB Maye is 24-16 as an NFL starter
Vrabel is 77-55 as an NFL head coach
Patriots are 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
Under Vrabel, NE is 5-0 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Patriots held five of seven opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Patriots team total: over 4-0 last four games
Last four New England games went over the total.
Dolphins (1-5)
Miami got its first win last week, after an 0-5 start.
Dolphins are 0-2 at home (24-10 KC/31-24 Bengals)
Miami ran ball for 217-156 yards last two games, big improvement.
QB Willis is 4-8 as an NFL starter.
Hafley is 1-5 as an NFL head coach (22-26 at BC).
Dolphins are 12-19 ATS last 30 games as an underdog.
Miami is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Opponents’ team total: over 4-2.
Dolphins last three games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.
New England swept the Dolphins LY, 33-27/38-10.
Patriots lost five of their last six visits to Miami.
Over is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
Eagles @ Commanders (-6)
Eagles (2-5)
Philly lost its last five games, three of them by 11+ points.
Eagles gained 321 yards LW, their most since Week 2.
Last five weeks, Eagles were outscored 76-17 in second half.
Backup QB McKee is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 66-35 as an NFL head coach.
Eagles are 7-1 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Eagles’ two wins were by 4-2 points.
Eagles are 19 for their last 68 on third down.
Over is 6-1 in their opponents’ team total.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-17 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Commanders (1-4-1)
Washington is 0-2-1 SU in its last three games.
Commanders are +7 in turnovers in last four games.
Washington is 1-0-1 at home: 33-31 Seattle/27-27 Giants
QB Daniels is 16-14-1 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 66-64-1 as an NFL head coach.
Commanders are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Commanders are 4-14 ATS in last 18 post-bye games.
Washington gave up 20+ points in 2nd half of 4 of their last 5 games.
Four of their six games this year went over the total.
Four of last five opponents went over their team total.
Eagles (-6) beat Washington 24-22 at home in Week 1.
Commanders scored TD with 1:01 left, went for 2 but failed.
Eagles won 14 of last 18 series games.
Philly won four of last five visits to Washington.
Over is 11-3 in last fourteen meetings.
Bears @ Seahawks (-3)
Bears (5-2)
Bears won four of their last five games.
Chicago scored 59-27-23-31-30 points in wins; 3-7 in losses.
Bears ran ball for 81-98-117 yards in their last three games.
Ben Johnson is 17-9 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 20-20 as an NFL starter.
Under Johnson, Chicago is 4-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Chicago is +10 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
Last three games, Bears converted 24 of 58 third down plays.
Last two games, Bears gained 368-405 yards.
Over is 3-1 when Williams starts at QB.
Seahawks (4-3)
Seattle held six of seven opponents under 280 total yards.
Seahawks three losses were by 2-3-3 points.
Seattle has led only two games at halftime.
QB Darnold is 55-45 as an NFL starter
MacDonald is 31-13 as a head coach
Seattle is 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Last two games, Seattle allowed 3-3 second half points.
Seattle is minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +6 in wins.
NFC West home favorites are 4-1-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Seahawks won five of last seven series games.
Teams split their last four meetings in Chicago.
Over is 9-3 in last 12 series games.
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Big Dawg’s NFL picks
Bills, -2.5
Rams, -6
Bears, +3
2026 record: 8-12-1, minus 156
2025 record: 36-29, plus 123
2024 record: 25-28-1, minus 174
2023 record: 30-23-1, plus 141
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Armadillo’s NFL picks
Detroit Lions, -3
2026 record: 3-1, plus 57 cousins
2025 record: 7-6, plus 12 chrismillers
2024 record: 6-6, minus 18 largents ______________________________
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