2026 NFL
Week 2
Thursday’s game
Lions @ Bills (-4.5)
Lions (1-0)
Lions won in OT LW after leading 21-0 in third quarter.
Saints’ QB Shough threw for 410 yards, three TD’s.
QB Goff is 94-66-1 as an NFL starter, 52-39-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 56-46-1 as an NFL head coach.
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Detroit is 24-13 ATS last 37 games as an underdog.
Lions are 25-16 ATS last 41 games coming off a win.
Lions are 16-8 ATS last 24 games vs AFC teams.
Detroit is 6-4 ATS in last ten road openers.
Bills (1-0)
This is Buffalo’s first game in their new stadium.
Bills won 36-31 @ Houston LW, scoring winning TD with 1:36 left.
QB Allen is 97-46 as an NFL starter
Joe Brady is 1-0 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Bills are 17-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Buffalo is 9-5 ATS in their last 14 home openers.
Last seven years, Bills are 10-3-1 ATS in Weeks 1-2.
Buffalo is 19-12-1 ATS in last 32 games vs NFC opponents.
Bills won last five series games, all by 6 or fewer points.
Bills won last meeting 48-42 in 2024.
Lions lost last two visits to Buffalo, 14-13/14-12.
Sunday’s games
Panthers (-1.5) @ Falcons
Panthers (0-1)
Carolina lost 59-37 LW, giving up 8 TD’s on 13 drives.
Bears outgained Carolina, 552-478.
QB Young is 14-32 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 13-23 as a head coach.
Last four years, Panthers are 1-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Canales, Panthers are 8-9 ATS in road games.
Last three years, Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in NFC South road games.
LW, Carolina QB Young threw for 361 yards, three TD’s.
Falcons (0-1)
Atlanta lost its opener 20-13 at Pittsburgh last week.
#3 QB Rush was 12-22/143 passing, with 2 INT’s.
Rush is 9-8 as an NFL starter; Tagovailoa is 44-33 (check status)
Stefanski is 46-59 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Atlanta is 6-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Stefanski is 12-8-1 ATS as a road underdog as a head coach.
Falcons are 9-6 ATS in last 15 NFC South home games.
Falcons are 16-5 ATS in last 21 home openers.
Carolina won six of last nine series games.
Panthers won four of last six visits to Atlanta.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Bengals @ Texans (-3)
Bengals (1-0)
Bengals forced 4 turnovers, beat Tampa Bay 33-27 last week.
Bengals outgained Bucs 351-282, led 24-10 at halftime.
Burrow is 49-35-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 58-65-1 as a head coach.
Last 4 years, Cincinnati is 10-7 ATS as road underdogs.
Cincinnati is 23-13 ATS ln its last 36 road games.
Bengals are 21-10-1 in last 32 games coming off a win.
Bengals are 2-8 ATS in last ten road openers.
Texans (0-1)
Houston lost opener 36-31 LW, giving up winning TD with 1:36 left.
Houston was 7-16 on third down, Buffalo only 3-9.
Stroud is 31-22 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 35-23 in as an NFL head coach.
Houston is 8-11 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 13-16-1 ATS last 30 games as a favorite.
Houston is 11-8 ATS in its last 19 games coming off a loss.
Five of their last six home games went over the total.
Texans won eight of last ten series games.
Bengals won three of last five visits to Houston.
Underdogs covered six of last seven meetings.
Browns @ Buccaneers (-8.5)
Browns (0-1)
Cleveland lost 34-10 at Jacksonville LW (trailed 24-0 at half).
Browns were outgained 360-272, were 1-8 on third down.
QB Watson is 38-37 as an NFL starter (9-11 with Cleveland)
Monken is 0-1 as an NFL head coach.
Browns are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Last 4+ years, Browns are 9-19 ATS as a road underdog.
Cleveland is 11-17 ATS in last 28 games as an underdog.
Browns are 2-8 ATS in last ten games vs NFC teams.
Buccaneers (0-1)
Tampa Bay lost 33-27 at Cincinnati LW, losing 4 fumbles.
Bucs are 2-8 SU/0-10 ATS in their last ten games.
Mayfield is 60-66 as an NFL starter, 28-27 with the Bucs.
Mayfield was 29-31 as Cleveland’s QB, from 2018-21 (1-1 playoffs)
Bowles is 62-78 as a head coach, 36-37 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 7-17-1 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 1-4 ATS in last five games vs AFC teams.
Bucs are 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 home openers.
Five of their last six home openers went over the total.
Buccaneers won four of last six meetings.
Browns lost last three visits to Tampa, by 14-3-3 points.
Cleveland is 26-43 since Mayfield left the Browns.
Packers (-4.5) @ Jets
Packers (0-1)
Green Bay lost opener 39-22, after leading 22-10 late in 3rd quarter.
Packers lost despite outgaining Minnesota 419-239.
QB Love is 28-24-1 as an NFL starter.
LaFleur is 79-47-1 as an NFL head coach.
Last three times Packers led by 10+ in 2nd half, they lost the game.
Last 3+ years, Packers are 5-15 ATS as a road favorite.
Packers are 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games vs AFC teams.
Green Bay is 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Jets (1-0)
Jets won their opener, 23-10 at Tennessee.
Jets outgained the Titans, 367-195.
Geno Smith is 43-57 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 4-14 as a head coach.
Jets are 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog
Jets covered their last three home openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine home openers.
Jets are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs NFC teams.
Green Bay won three of last four meetings.
Packers won 44-38/9-0 in last two visits here.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
Vikings @ Bears (-5.5)
Vikings (1-0)
Vikings came from behind, won opener 39-22 LW.
Wentz came off bench, was 12-19/133 passing, led the comeback.
Murray is 39-49 as an NFL starter; Wentz is 49-50-1 (check status)
O’Connell is 44-27 as an NFL head coach.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 7-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Vikings are 2-7 ATS in last nine road openers.
Minnesota is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine NFC North road games.
Vikings are 17-9-3 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Bears (1-0)
Chicago won 59-27 LW, scoring 8 TD’s on 13 drives.
Bears ran the ball 39 times for 291 yards.
Ben Johnson is 13-7 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 18-19 as an NFL starter.
Last three years, Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last six years, Chicago is 4-13-1 ATS in NFC North home games.
Bears are 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in their last six home openers.
Under is 8-1 in their last nine home openers.
Minnesota won nine of last 11 series games.
Last three meetings were decided by 3 or less points.
Vikings won their last six visits to Chicago.
Under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
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Big Dawg’s NFL picks
Seahawks, -3
Steelers, -3
Bears, -2.5
2026 record: 2-0-1, plus 60
2025 record: 36-29, plus 123
2024 record: 25-28-1, minus 174
2023 record: 30-23-1, plus 141
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Armadillo’s NFL picks
No picks for Week 1
2025 record: 7-6, plus 12 chrismillers
2024 record: 6-6, minus 18 largents ______________________________
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