College Football

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2025 college football
Top 13 games of the week
Friday’s game
Clemson @ Louisville (-2.5)
Clemson (4-5, 3-4)
Clemson is 1-4 when it scores less than 27 points.
Tigers are 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Clemson has gained 488+ total yards in 4 of last 6 games.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Clemson has 122 returning starts on the offensive line.

QB Klubnik started 28 games last two years.
Since 2020, Clemson is 1-4 ATS as an underdog.
Tigers are 3-6 ATS in their games this season.
Clemson is 11-13 ATS in last 24 ACC games.
Tigers are 16-25 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Louisville (7-2, 4-2)
Louisville won three of its last four games.
Both their losses were by three points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Louisville has 203 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Moss started 10 games at USC

Louisville is 0-5 ATS as a home favorite this year.
From 2019-24, they were 20-8 ATS as a home favorite 
In his career, Brohm is 27-28 as a home favorite
Under Brohm, Cardinals are 10-13 ATS in ACC games.
Under Brohm, Louisville is 3-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.

Clemson won eight of last nine series games.
Tigers won last four visits to Louisville (3-1 ATS)
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS this season in conference games. 

Saturday’s games
Arizona @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
Arizona (6-3, 4-3)
Arizona is 6-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Wildcats gave up 39-33-31 points in their losses.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts

Under Brennan, Arizona is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Arizona is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 37-33-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.

Cincinnati (7-2, 5-1)
Cincinnati won seven of their last eight games.
Cincinnati was held to 17-14 points in their losses. 
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.

Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 28-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 39-41-4 ATS in conference games.
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in conference games this year.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven I-A games.

These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 22-12 ATS in conference games.

Notre Dame (-12.5) @ Pittsburgh
Notre Dame (7-2)
Notre Dame won its last seven games, all by 10+ points.
Notre Dame’s two losses were by total of four points.
Notre Dame held four of last five opponents under 300 yards.
Irish have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Notre Dame has 54 returning starts on offensive line.

Frosh QB Carr is grandson of former Michigan coach Lloyd Carr.
Last 2+ years, Notre Dame is 18-11-1 ATS in all games.
Under Freeman, ND is 6-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Notre Dame ran for 200+ yards in five of last seven games.
Four of last five Notre Dame games stayed under the total.

Pittsburgh (7-2)
Pitt won/covered its last five games, scoring 40 ppg. 
Panthers gave up 31-34 points in their losses, by 7-7 points.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.

Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 29-27 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 11-10 ATS as a home underdog.
Pitt is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-2 in Pitt’s I-A games.

Notre Dame won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
Notre Dame is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
ACC underdogs are 4-8 ATS in non-conference games.

Arkansas @ LSU (-5.5)
Arkansas (2-7, 0-5)
Arkansas lost its last seven games, giving up 39.9 ppg
Last seven games, Hogs are minus-9 in turnovers.
Arkansas gave up 210+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Razorbacks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Razorbacks have 101 returning starts on the offensive line;

Senior QB Green has started 35 college games.
Arkansas is 12-5 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Razorbacks are 26-19-2 ATS last 47 SEC games.
Since 2015, Hogs are 39-29-2 ATS games coming off a loss.
Over is 7-1 in Arkansas’ last eight games.

LSU (5-4, 2-4)
LSU lost four of their last five games.
Last three games, Tigers ran ball for only 73 yards/game.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)

LSU is 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
LSU allowed 10 or fewer points in all five wins.
LSU is 13-17-1 ATS in last 31 SEC games.
LSU is 7-7 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in their I-A games.

Both these teams have already fired their coach.
LSU won eight of last nine series games.
Arkansas is 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 visits to Baton Rouge.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS. 

Virginia @ Duke (-5.5)
Virginia (8-2, 5-2)
Virginia’s two losses were by 4-7 points. 
Cavaliers won seven of their last eight games.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.

Under Elliott, Virginia is 17-9 ATS as a underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 10-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 19-11 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 12-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last five Virginia games stayed under the total.

Duke (5-4, 4-1)
Duke is 0-4 when it scores less than 38 points.
Blue Devils are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-9 in losses.
Duke has gained 390+ total yards in all nine games.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.

Duke is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 9-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 19-10 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.

Virginia won eight of last nine series games.
Cavaliers split their last four visits to Duke.
Favorites covered four of last five series games.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS in conference games.

Oklahoma @ Alabama (-5.5)
Oklahoma (7-2, 3-2)
Oklahoma split its last four games, after a 5-0 start.
Last two games, Oklahoma allowed 431-456 total yards.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.

Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 13-17-1 ATS in conference games.
Sooners are 7-2 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Sooners are 11-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 6-2 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.

Alabama (8-1, 6-0)
Alabama won first six SEC games, by 3-16-3-17-7-11 points.
Alabama is +11 in turnovers this season.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.

Under DeBoer, Alabama is 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 20-12-1 as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Last two games, Alabama ran ball for only 72-56 yards. 
Five of last six Alabama games stayed under the total.

Oklahoma has won four of last five series games.
Sooners (+14) upset Alabama 24-3 at home last year.   
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games. 

Iowa @ USC (-6.5)
Iowa (6-3, 4-2)
Iowa was held to 13-15-16 points in their losses.    
Hawkeyes are 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points. 
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.

Hawkeyes are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Iowa is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.
In his career, Ferentz is 124-94-7 ATS in conference games.
Last two games, Iowa gained only 274-239 yards.
Iowa is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.

USC (7-2, 5-1)
Trojans allowed 34 points in both their losses.
Trojans scored 31+ points in seven of nine games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.

Under Riley, USC is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 33-20 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 14-16 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Riley, USC is 14-20 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under is 3-1 in last four USC games.

These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Big 18 home favorites are 14-18 ATS in conference games.

Memphis @ East Carolina (-2.5)
Memphis (8-2, 4-2)
Tigers split their last four games; after a 6-0 start.
Memphis gave up 31-38 points in their losses.
Memphis has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Tigers have 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Lewis started 12 games at Nevada LY.

Memphis scored 32+ points in eight of its ten games.
Since 2022, Tigers are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 12-8 ATS as an underdog.
Memphis allowed 450+ yards in three of last four games.
Over is 5-2 in last seven Memphis games.

East Carolina (6-3, 4-1)
ECU won last three games, scoring 41-45-48 points.
ECU was held to 17-13-19 points in its losses.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other schools.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.

ECU is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.
Pirates are 12-15-1 ATS in last 25 conference games.
ECU is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Last three games, Pirates ran ball for 269.7 yards/game.
Over is 3-0 in East Carolina’s last three games.

East Carolina won nine of last 11 series games.
Memphis is 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS last six visits to ECU.
Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings. 
AAC home favorites are 13-9 ATS in conference games.

North Carolina @ Wake Forest (-5.5)
North Carolina (4-5, 2-3)
North Carolina won last two games, giving up 10-15 points.
UNC is 4-0 when they score 20+ points. 
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama LY.

Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Tar Heels are 16-22 ATS in last 38 conference games.
Last six games, UNC is minus-5 in turnovers. 
UNC held four of last five opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Wake Forest (6-3, 3-3)
Wake Forest won four of its last five games.
Deacons allowed 34-30-42 points in its three losses.
Deacons have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wake Forest has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
Last 2 years, senior QB Ashford was at Auburn/South Carolina

In his career, coach Dickert is 9-7 as a home favorite.
Wake is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Wake is 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Deacons are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

UNC won last four series games, scoring 46 ppg.
Tar Heels lost three of last four visits to Winston-Salem.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS in conference games.

Utah (-8.5) @ Baylor
Utah (7-2, 4-2)
Last five games, Utah ran ball for 286.6 yards/game
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.

Utah is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this year.
From 2021-24, Utah was 3-12 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Whittingham is 31-35-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Utah is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Baylor (5-4, 3-3)
Baylor allowed 27+ points in seven of its nine games. 
Baylor scored 30+ points in wins, 24-24-36 in losses.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.

Baylor is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 6-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 24-27-1 ATS in Big X games.
Baylor is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-3 in their I-A games.

Utah beat Baylor the last two years, 20-13/23-12.
Baylor covered both games, which both stayed under the total.
Big X home underdogs are 5-11 ATS in conference games.

Texas @ Georgia (-6.5)
Texas (7-2, 4-1)
Texas has won four in row, seven of last eight games.
Longhorns was held to 7-21 points in its two losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,123 yards (18 TD’s, 6 INT’s)

Since 2021, Texas is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 10-19 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 47-52 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 18-24 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

Georgia (8-1, 6-1)
Georgia won last five games, by 21-10-8-4-20 points. 
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.

Georgia is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 11-14 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 43-50-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Smart is 49-40 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 8-19-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.

Georgia beat Texas twice LY, 22-19/30-15.
Two games combined, Texas ran ball 55 times for total of 60 yards.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.

Mississippi State @ Missouri (-6.5)
Mississippi State (5-5, 1-5)
Miss State lost five of its last six games, after a 4-0 start.
Last two games, Bulldogs gave up 45-35-41 points.
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.

Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
MSU is 8-2 ATS so far this season.
Bulldogs are 9-5 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
Bulldogs have given up 428+ total yards in all six SEC games.
Miss State’s last three games went over the total.

Missouri (6-3, 2-3)
Mizzou lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start. 
Tigers are 5-0 when they score 29+ points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.

Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 10-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 14-17-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 25-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 13-10 in games coming off a loss.
Four of last five Mizzou games stayed under the total.

Miss State won two of last three series games.
This is Bulldogs’ first visit to Mizzou since 2015.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings. 
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.

TCU @ BYU (-4.5)
TCU (6-3, 3-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
Horned Frogs gained 427+ yards in three of last four games.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.

Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 17-14-3 ATS in Big X games.
TCU is +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses. 
Five of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.

BYU (8-1, 5-1)
BYU lost 29-7 at Texas Tech LW, its first loss this year.
BYU gave up 470-495-368 yards in last three games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 149-239/1,881 passing (12 TD’s, 4 INTs)

In its Big X games, BYU allowed 24.8 points/game.
BYU is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home favorite. 
BYU is 9-7 ATS in last 15 conference games.
BYU is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in BYU’s last eight games.

TCU won last five series games. 
This is TCU’s first visit to Provo since 2009.
Big X home favorites are 22-12 ATS in conference games.

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