College Football

______________________________

2025 college football
Top 14 games of the week
Wednesday’s game
Liberty (-1.5) @ Texas-El Paso
Liberty (1-4, 0-1)
Liberty is 0-4 in I-A games, with all four losses by 10+.
Last two games, Liberty gave up 227-218 rushing yards.
Flames have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Vasko started 16 games at Coastal Carolina.

Liberty is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Liberty is 3-9 ATS in last 12 conference games
In his career, Chadwell is 11-14 ATS as a road favorite.
Flames are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games following a loss.
Liberty’s last three games stayed under the total.

Texas-El Paso (1-4, 0-1)
Miners are 0-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 29 ppg.
UTEP was held under 300 TY in three of four I-A games.
UTEP has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Miners have 37 starts back on offensive line.
QB Watson is 65-111/618 passing (1 TD, 3 INTs)

Since 2020, UTEP is 6-5 ATS as a home underdog.
UTEP is 10-7 ATS in last 17 conference games.
Miners are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
UTEP outgained UL-Monroe 442-399, but lost 31-25.
Under is 3-1 in UTEP’s I-A games.

Liberty beat UTEP the last two years, 42-28/28-10.
Flames out-rushed UTEP in the two games, 620-141
Despite that, Miners covered both games (+17/+23)
This year, C-USA home teams are 5-2 ATS in league games.

Thursday’s game
East Carolina @ Tulane (-6.5)
East Carolina (3-2, 1-0)
ECU gained 400+ yards in all four I-A games.
Last two games, ECU allowed 172-241 rushing yards.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other places.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.

ECU is 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog.
Pirates are 11-13-1 ATS in last 25 conference games.
ECU is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Pirates were held to 17-13 points in their two losses.
Under is 4-0 in East Carolina’s I-A games. 

Tulane (4-1, 1-0)
Tulane’s only loss was 41-10 at Ole Miss.
Tulane scored 31+ points in its last three wins.
Green Wave has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Green Wave has 93 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Retzlaff started 13 games at BYU.

Under Sumrall, Tulane is 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Sumrall is 30-15-1 ATS overall as a head coach.
Since 2019, Green Wave is 22-11 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Sumrall is 21-6-1 ATS in conference games.
Under is 3-2 in their games this season.

Tulane won five of last six series games.
Pirates are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS last three visits to Tulane.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Favorites are 9-4 ATS in AAC conference games. 

Friday’s game
South Florida @ North Texas (-1.5)
South Florida (4-1, 1-0)
USF scored 35.3 ppg in its three I-A wins. 
Bulls’ only loss was 49-12 at Miami.
Bulls have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Brown started five games last year.

Last two games, USF ran ball for 252-407 yards.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 7-6 ATS as an underdog.
USF is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 8-9 ATS in conference games.
In their one loss, Miami ran ball for 205 yards.

North Texas (5-0, 1-0)
UNT scored 43-3 ppg in its four I-A games.
Last three games, Mean Green is +8 in turnovers.
Mean Green has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
North Texas has 72 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Mestemaker started UNT’s bowl game last year.
 
Under Morris, North Texas is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Morris, North Texas is 9-7 ATS in conference games.
UNT gave up 200+ rushing yards in 3 of 4 I-A games.
North Texas has given up 25 ppg vs I-A opponents.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

These teams haven’t met since 2002.
Favorites are 9-4 ATS in AAC conference games.

Saturday’s games
Alabama (-2.5) @ Missouri
Alabama (4-1, 2-0)
Alabama won first two SEC games: 24-21 @ Georgia, 30-14 vs Vandy
Alabama gained 450+ yards in 3 of its last 4 games.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.

Alabama is 7-13 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-11 as a road favorite.
Crimson Tide is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 SEC games.
Alabama is +9 in turnovers this season.
Alabama threw for 340+ yards in three of last four games.

Missouri (5-0, 1-0)
Mizzou won its SEC opener 29-20 over South Carolina.
Tigers scored 41.3 ppg in its four I-A games.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.

Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-19 ATS in SEC games.
Mizzou is 13-9-1 in last 23 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Mizzou’s I-A games.

Alabama is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five series games.
This is Alabama’s first visit to Missouri since 2020.
SEC home teams are 11-5 ATS in conference games.

Pittsburgh @ Florida State (-10)
Pittsburgh (3-2, 1-1)
Pitt lost its only road game, 31-24 at West Virginia.
Panthers scored 45-48 points in I-A wins, 24-27 in I-A losses.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.

Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 28-26 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 1-9 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 46-39-1 ATS in ACC games.
Pitt is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Pitt’s I-A games.

Florida State (3-2, 0-2)
Florida State lost last 2 games, 46-38 at Virginia, 28-22 Miami.
Seminoles ran for 230+ yards in three of four I-A games.
FSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Seminoles have 129 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Castellanos started 20 games at Boston College.

Florida State is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 17-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 19-24 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Norvell is 39-38-1 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in Florida State’s I-A games.

Road team won last three series games.
Pitt won 41-17 in last visit to FSU, in 2020.
ACC home favorites are 4-6 ATS in conference games. 

Indiana @ Oregon (-7.5)
Indiana (5-0, 2-0)
Hoosiers won their Big 18 games, 63-10/20-15.
Indiana won first road game LW, 20-15 at Iowa.
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.

Under Cignetti, Indiana is 0-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Indiana is +6 in turnovers in its I-A games.
In his career, Cignetti is 19-8 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 10-4 ATS in games coming off a win.

Oregon (5-0, 2-0)
Oregon is 2-0 in Big 18 games, winning 34-14/30-24
Ducks won their two I-A home games, 69-3/41-7.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.

Under Lanning, Ducks are 13-7 ATS as a home favorite. 
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-12 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win. 
Oregon held three of four I-A foes under 280 total yards.
Ducks had week off since their 30-24 win at Penn State.

Indiana (+20.5) won 30-24 at Oregon last year.
Ducks outgained Indiana 495-198 in that game.
Big 18 home favorites are 3-6 ATS in conference games. 

______________________________________

 

---

___________________________________