2026 NFL
Week 2
Sunday’s games
Panthers (-1.5) @ Falcons
Panthers (0-1)
Carolina lost 59-37 LW, giving up 8 TD’s on 13 drives.
Bears outgained Carolina, 552-478.
QB Young is 14-32 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 13-23 as a head coach.
Last four years, Panthers are 1-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Canales, Panthers are 8-9 ATS in road games.
Last three years, Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in NFC South road games.
LW, Carolina QB Young threw for 361 yards, three TD’s.
Falcons (0-1)
Atlanta lost its opener 20-13 at Pittsburgh last week.
#3 QB Rush was 12-22/143 passing, with 2 INT’s.
Rush is 9-8 as an NFL starter; Tagovailoa is 44-33 (check status)
Stefanski is 46-59 as an NFL head coach.
Last four years, Atlanta is 6-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Stefanski is 12-8-1 ATS as a road underdog as a head coach.
Falcons are 9-6 ATS in last 15 NFC South home games.
Falcons are 16-5 ATS in last 21 home openers.
Carolina won six of last nine series games.
Panthers won four of last six visits to Atlanta.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Bengals @ Texans (-3)
Bengals (1-0)
Bengals forced 4 turnovers, beat Tampa Bay 33-27 last week.
Bengals outgained Bucs 351-282, led 24-10 at halftime.
Burrow is 49-35-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 58-65-1 as a head coach.
Last 4 years, Cincinnati is 10-7 ATS as road underdogs.
Cincinnati is 23-13 ATS ln its last 36 road games.
Bengals are 21-10-1 in last 32 games coming off a win.
Bengals are 2-8 ATS in last ten road openers.
Texans (0-1)
Houston lost opener 36-31 LW, giving up winning TD with 1:36 left.
Houston was 7-16 on third down, Buffalo only 3-9.
Stroud is 31-22 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 35-23 in as an NFL head coach.
Houston is 8-11 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 13-16-1 ATS last 30 games as a favorite.
Houston is 11-8 ATS in its last 19 games coming off a loss.
Five of their last six home games went over the total.
Texans won eight of last ten series games.
Bengals won three of last five visits to Houston.
Underdogs covered six of last seven meetings.
Browns @ Buccaneers (-8.5)
Browns (0-1)
Cleveland lost 34-10 at Jacksonville LW (trailed 24-0 at half).
Browns were outgained 360-272, were 1-8 on third down.
QB Watson is 38-37 as an NFL starter (9-11 with Cleveland)
Monken is 0-1 as an NFL head coach.
Browns are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Last 4+ years, Browns are 9-19 ATS as a road underdog.
Cleveland is 11-17 ATS in last 28 games as an underdog.
Browns are 2-8 ATS in last ten games vs NFC teams.
Buccaneers (0-1)
Tampa Bay lost 33-27 at Cincinnati LW, losing 4 fumbles.
Bucs are 2-8 SU/0-10 ATS in their last ten games.
Mayfield is 60-66 as an NFL starter, 28-27 with the Bucs.
Mayfield was 29-31 as Cleveland’s QB, from 2018-21 (1-1 playoffs)
Bowles is 62-78 as a head coach, 36-37 with Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is 7-17-1 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Bucs are 1-4 ATS in last five games vs AFC teams.
Bucs are 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 home openers.
Five of their last six home openers went over the total.
Buccaneers won four of last six meetings.
Browns lost last three visits to Tampa, by 14-3-3 points.
Cleveland is 26-43 since Mayfield left the Browns.
Packers (-4.5) @ Jets
Packers (0-1)
Green Bay lost opener 39-22, after leading 22-10 late in 3rd quarter.
Packers lost despite outgaining Minnesota 419-239.
QB Love is 28-24-1 as an NFL starter.
LaFleur is 79-47-1 as an NFL head coach.
Last three times Packers led by 10+ in 2nd half, they lost the game.
Last 3+ years, Packers are 5-15 ATS as a road favorite.
Packers are 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games vs AFC teams.
Green Bay is 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Jets (1-0)
Jets won their opener, 23-10 at Tennessee.
Jets outgained the Titans, 367-195.
Geno Smith is 43-57 as an NFL starting QB.
Aaron Glenn is 4-14 as a head coach.
Jets are 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog
Jets covered their last three home openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine home openers.
Jets are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games vs NFC teams.
Green Bay won three of last four meetings.
Packers won 44-38/9-0 in last two visits here.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
Vikings @ Bears (-5.5)
Vikings (1-0)
Vikings came from behind, won opener 39-22 LW.
Wentz came off bench, was 12-19/133 passing, led the comeback.
Murray is 39-49 as an NFL starter; Wentz is 49-50-1 (check status)
O’Connell is 44-27 as an NFL head coach.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 7-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Vikings are 2-7 ATS in last nine road openers.
Minnesota is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine NFC North road games.
Vikings are 17-9-3 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Bears (1-0)
Chicago won 59-27 LW, scoring 8 TD’s on 13 drives.
Bears ran the ball 39 times for 291 yards.
Ben Johnson is 13-7 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 18-19 as an NFL starter.
Last three years, Chicago is 9-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last six years, Chicago is 4-13-1 ATS in NFC North home games.
Bears are 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in their last six home openers.
Under is 8-1 in their last nine home openers.
Minnesota won nine of last 11 series games.
Last three meetings were decided by 3 or less points.
Vikings won their last six visits to Chicago.
Under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
Saints @ Ravens (-8.5)
Saints (0-1)
Saints lost 31-30 in OT at Detroit LW, after trailing 21-0.
Tyler Shough threw for 410 yards, three TD’s.
QB Shough is 5-5 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 6-12 as a head coach.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in last seven games vs AFC teams.
New Orleans is 18-10-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
Last week, Saints’ first 8 drives: 38 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Last week, Saints’ last 7 drives: 50 plays, 390 yards, 30 points.
Ravens (1-0)
Baltimore led 31-13 at half, won 41-23 at Indianapolis last week.
Ravens ran ball 37 times for 202 yards.
QB Jackson is 80-36 as an NFL starter
Minter is 1-0 as an NFL head coach.
Last 3 years, Ravens were 13-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Ravens are 27-18-1 ATS last 46 games as a favorite.
Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in last 10 home openers.
Over is 4-1 in their last five home openers.
Ravens won/covered three of last four series games.
Road team won/covered five of last six series games.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Eagles (-7) @ Titans
Eagles (1-0)
Eagles held on to beat Washington 24-22 LW.
Washington scored TD with 1:01 left, failed on 2-point try.
QB Hurts is 64-29 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 65-30 as an NFL coach.
Last two years, Eagles were 8-5 ATS as a road favorite.
Eagles are 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games vs AFC teams.
Philly is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five road openers.
Eagles have their sixth offensive coordinator in six years.
Titans (0-1)
Tennessee lost its opener 23-10 at home against the Jets.
Jets outgained the Titans, 367-195.
Robert Saleh is 20-37 as an NFL head coach.
QB Ward is 3-15 as an NFL starter.
Last two years, Titans were 4-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Tennessee is 9-17-1 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
Titans are 2-7-1 ATS in last ten games vs NFC teams.
Tennessee is 8-17-1 in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Titans won four of last six series games.
Eagles lost last three visits here, by 3-18-3 points.
Home team won five of last six meetings.
Steelers @ Patriots (-5.5)
Steelers (1-0)
Steelers won their opener 20-13 (-3) over Atlanta.
Pittsburgh was only 3-13 on 3rd down; they scored a defensive TD.
Rodgers is 175-104-1 as an NFL starter.
McCarthy is 186-123-2 as a head coach.
Last four years, Steelers were 14-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Last four years, Steelers were 22-19-1 ATS as an underdog.
Pittsburgh is 20-15-1 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Last six years, Steelers are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in road openers.
Patriots (0-1)
Patriots lost their opener 13-10 at Seattle last week.
Maye threw an INT on each of Patriots’ last three drives.
QB Maye is 20-14 as an NFL starter
Vrabel is 73-53 as an NFL head coach
LW, NE was 2-11 on third down, averaged 4.7 yards/pass attempt. \
Patriots were 7-2 ATS as a home favorite last year.
NE is 12-16 ATS in its last 28 games coming off a loss.
Patriots played on Wednesday last week, had extra time to prep for this.
Patriots won seven of last nine series games.
Steelers are 2-5 SU/2-4-1 ATS in last seven visits to Foxboro.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Jaguars @ Broncos (-2.5)
Jaguars (1-0)
Jacksonville won its opener 34-10 over Cleveland last week.
Jaguars led 24-0 at half; outgained Browns 360-272
QB Lawrence is 37-44 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 14-5 as an NFL head coach.
Last three years, Jaguars are 9-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Coen, Jaguars are +15 in turnovers.
Jaguars are 16-10 in last 26 games coming off a win.
Jaguars were 5-10 on third down last week; Cleveland 1-8.
Broncos (0-1)
Short week for Denver after Monday night’s 31-10 loss.
Kansas City outgained the Broncos 392-176.
Payton is 194-119 as an NFL head coach, 33-22 with Denver.
QB Nix is 25-12 as an NFL starter.
Last two years, Denver was 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Broncos are 2-2 SU/0-4 ATS in last four home openers.
Broncos are 6-4 ATS last ten games coming off a loss.
Kansas City ran the ball for 220 yards LW (5.8 yards/carry)
Broncos won four of last six series games.
Jaguars won four of their last five visits to Denver.
Under is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.
Raiders @ Chargers (-7)
Raiders (1-0)
Raiders won their opener, 27-13 over Miami.
Raiders ran 67 plays last week, Dolphins only 50.
QB Cousins is 90-80-2 as an NFL starter.
Kubiak is 1-0 as an NFL head coach.
Last two years, Raiders were 6-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 8-3 ATS in last eleven road openers.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.
Raiders are 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Chargers (0-1)
Chargers (-10) were upset 26-14 at home by Arizona last week.
Cardinals outgained the Chargers 393-268.
QB Herbert is 52-47 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 71-37-1 as an NFL head coach.
Last 2+ years, Chargers are 8-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Chargers are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Bolts are 10-4 ATS in last 14 AFC West home games.
LW, Chargers were 2-8 on third down, Arizona 6-14.
Chargers won last five series games, four of them by 11+ points.
Raiders are 0-5 SU/ATS in last five road series games.
Under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.
Dolphins @ 49ers (-13.5)
Dolphins (0-1)
Miami lost its opener 27-13 in Las Vegas.
Dolphins were 2-10 on 3rd down, gained only 259 yards.
QB Willis is 3-4 as an NFL starter.
Hafley is 0-1 as an NFL head coach (22-26 at BC).
Last 3+ years, Miami is 5-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Dolphins are 16-18-1 ATS in last 35 games coming off a loss.
Miami is 9-6 ATS last fifteen games vs NFC teams.
49ers (1-0)
49ers won their opener 27-7 in Australia last week.
49ers outgained the Rams, 379-290
Purdy is 36-18 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 92-72 as an NFL head coach.
49ers are 9-13-1 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
49ers are 7-12-1 ATS in last 20 games vs AFC teams.
49ers are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four home openers.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Dolphins are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five visits to Santa Clara.
Last five series games went over the total.
Seahawks (-4.5) @ Cardinals
Seahawks (1-0)
Seahawks won their opener 13-10 at home over New England.
Seattle trailed 10-0 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
Backup QB Lock is 10-18 as an NFL starter
MacDonald is 28-10 as a head coach
Seattle was 7-1 ATS as a road favorite last year.
Seahawks are 5-1-1 ATS in last seven road openers.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.
Seattle is 9-5 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC West foes.
Cardinals (1-0)
Cardinals upset the Chargers 26-14 in LA last week.
Arizona outgained the Chargers, 393-268.
Brissett is 21-45 as an NFL starter.
Mike LaFleur is 1-0 as an NFL head coach.
Last year, Arizona was 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in last seven home openers.
Over is 5-0 in Arizona’s last five home openers.
Last four years, Cardinals are 7-17 ATS vs NFC West opponents.
Seattle won last eight series games.
Seahawks covered five of last seven visits to Arizona.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Commanders @ Cowboys (-4.5)
Commanders (0-1)
Washington made playoffs once in last five years.
Commanders are 1-5 ATS in last six road openers.
Daniels is 16-11 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 65-61 as an NFL head coach.
Commanders are 8-9-1 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
Washington is 7-9 ATS last 16 NFC East road games.
Last 4+ years, Commanders are 11-14-1 ATS vs NFC East foes.
Washington is 19-26-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
Cowboys (0-1)
Dallas lost its opener 28-20 at the Giants.
Cowboys were outgained 394-244.
QB Prescott is 85-61-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 7-10-1 as a head coach.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Cowboys are 2-4 ATS in their last six home openers.
Dallas is 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 NFC East games.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home openers.
Cowboys won seven of last nine series games.
Commanders are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Colts @ Chiefs (-6.5)
Colts (0-1)
Colts lost their opener, 41-23 at home vs Baltimore.
Ravens outgained the Colts, 506-251
Jones is 33-51 as an NFL starter (8-6 with Colts).
Steichen is 25-27 SU as a head coach
Under Steichen, Colts are 14-17 ATS as an underdog.
Colts are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Colts are 5-2 ATS in last seven road openers.
Overall, Indy is 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in its last eight games.
Chiefs (1-0)
Short week for Chiefs after their 31-10 win at home Monday.
Chiefs are 14-12 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
Mahomes is 113-35 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 308-174-1 as an NFL head coach
Chiefs are 18-26 ATS in last 44 games coming off a win.
Last week, Mahomes completed only 15-27 passes (5.9 ypa)
Chiefs ran ball for 220 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Kenneth Walker ran for 173 yards (7.5 yards/carry).
Colts won eight of last eleven series games.
Colts are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Monday’s game
Giants @ Rams (-7)
Giants (1-0)
Giants won their opener, 28-20 over the Cowboys.
Giants were 9-11 on 3rd down, outgained Dallas, 394-244.
QB Dart is 5-8 as an NFL starter.
Harbaugh is 194-124 as an NFL head coach.
Giants are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 9-7 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.
Giants are 3-6 ATS in last nine road openers.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten road openers.
Rams (0-1)
Rams lost their opener 27-7 to the 49ers in Australia.
Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven home openers.
QB Stafford is 53-32 as the Rams’ starter
McVay is 102-64 as an NFL head coach.
Rams are 21-12-1 ATS in last 34 games as a favorite.
Rams are 10-6-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Under McVay, Rams are 29-17-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Rams were outgained 379-290 in last week’s game.
Rams are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four meetings.
Giants are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five series games.
Over is 5-2-2 in last nine meetings.
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Big Dawg’s NFL picks
Patriots, -4.5
Vikings, +5.5
Buccaneers -8
2026 record: 2-0-1, plus 60
2025 record: 36-29, plus 123
2024 record: 25-28-1, minus 174
2023 record: 30-23-1, plus 141
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Armadillo’s NFL picks
Saints-Ravens, over 45.5
2025 record: 7-6, plus 12 chrismillers
2024 record: 6-6, minus 18 largents ______________________________
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