Games are analyzed, all season long, right thru BCS title game
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2026 college football
Top 13 Games of the Week
Friday’s games
Florida State @ Louisville (-3.5)
Florida State (3-2, 1-1)
FSU split its ACC games, 24-27 SMU/38-7 Virginia.
Seminoles lost its only road game, 50-36 at Alabama.
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Seminoles have 107 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Daniels started 25 games at Stanford/Auburn.
Since 2023, FSU is 1-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Last three years, Seminoles are 5-12-1 ATS in ACC games.
In his career, Norvell is 6-15-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games.
Seminoles are 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Louisville (2-3, 1-2)
Louisville lost last two games, 30-27 Wake Forest/31-28 NC State
All three of their losses were by three points.
Cardinals have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Louisville has 142 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Kienholz was a backup at Ohio State for two years.
Under Brohm, Louisville is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Brohm is 28-31 as a home favorite.
Under Brohm, Cardinals are 11-17 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Brohm is 54-52 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in their I-A games.
Florida State won four of last six series games.
These teams haven’t met since 2023.
Over is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
ACC home favorites are 2-3 ATS in conference games.
Iowa @ Washington (-3)
Iowa (4-1, 1-1)
Iowa won its only road game, 20-19 at Michigan.
Hawkeyes were held under 100 yards rushing in last three I-A games.
Hawkeyes have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 27 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Brown has three career starts.
Hawkeyes are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 38-31-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 127-96-7 ATS in conference games.
Iowa is 10-4-1 ATS in last fifteen games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-0 in their I-A games.
Washington (3-2, 0-2)
Huskies lost first two Big 18 games: 27-24 Minnesota/25-21 USC.
Washinton allowed 16 or fewer points in their wins.
Huskies have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Washington has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Williams started 13 games last year.
Under Fisch, Washington is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
In his career, Fisch is 12-10 ATS as a home favorite
Since 2018, Huskies are 27-46 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Fisch is 25-24 ATS in conference games.
Under Fisch, Washington is 8-3 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their four I-A games.
Iowa (-2.5) beat Washington 40-16 at home, two years ago.
Big 18 home favorites are 2-7 ATS in conference games.
Washington State @ Utah State (-5.5)
Washington State (1-4, 0-1)
Wazzu is 0-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 14-27-10-20 points.
Coogs allowed 402-487-447-375 yards in those games.
Coogs have 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Wazzu has 40 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Pinnick started 12 games at I-AA Cal-Davis.
Moore is Wazzu’s fifth head coach in eight years.
Coogs are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Wazzu is 6-8 ATS last 14 conference games.
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Coogs are 16-12 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their four I-A games.
Utah State (1-4, 0-1)
Utah State won its only I-A home game, 21-10 over Troy State.
Last three games, Aggies allowed 480-395-429 yards.
Utah State has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Aggies have 75 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Brosterhous was a backup at Virginia.
Utah State is 8-1 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
In his career, Mendenhall is 54-37 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Mendenhall is 74-66 ATS in conference games.
Aggies are 6-3 ATS in last nine conference games.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games.
Wazzu beat Utah State the last two years, 34-21/49-28
Coogs ran for 255-303 yards in those games.
Iowa State @ BYU (-10.5)
Iowa State (3-2, 1-1)
Iowa State lost its only road game, 16-13 at Iowa
Coach Rogers won a I-AA national title at South Dakota State
Cyclones have 2 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Cyclones have 15 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Raynor started 13 games at Arkansas State.
Since 2017, Iowa State is 16-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Rogers is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Cyclones are 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 conference games.
Iowa State is 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Last three Iowa State games went over the total.
BYU (4-0, 2-0)
BYU won its Big X games, 28-17 Arizona/17-10 TCU
BYU beat Arizona 28-17, their one I-A home game.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bachmeier started 14 games last year.
BYU is 8-3 ATS in last eleven games as a home favorite.
In his career, Sitake 22-23 ATS as a home favorite.
BYU is 14-8 ATS in last 22 conference games.
BYU is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games coming off a win.
Road team won last two series games.
Cyclones (-7.5) won 45-13 in Provo in 2023.
Big X home favorites are 3-5 ATS
Saturday’s games
Indiana (-7.5) @ Nebraska
Indiana (5-0, 2-0)
Hoosiers won their Big 18 games, 29-23/47-15.
Indiana won first road game LW, 47-15 at Rutgers.
Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Hoover started 31 games at TCU.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 12-4 ATS as a road favorite.
In 34 games under Cignetti, Indiana is +39 in turnovers.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-7 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 20-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Nebraska (5-0, 2-0)
Nebraska won its two Big 18 games, 31-13/48-23
Nebraska ran ball for 200+ yards in three of four I-A games.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Nebraska has 123 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Colandrea started 31 games at Virginia/UNLV
In his career, Rhule is 37-28-1 ATS in home games.
Since 2017, Nebraska is 7-12-1 ATS as a home underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 14-9 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 11-16-2 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in their four I-A games.
Teams split last four series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 3-6 ATS.
North Carolina @ Pitt (-3.5)
North Carolina (2-2, 0-1)
UNC lost last two games, 28-20 at Clemson, 37-26 vs Notre Dame.
Last two games, Tar Heels allowed 186-241 rushing yards.
Tar Heels have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 21 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Edwards has 13 career starts (Maryland/Wisconsin)
Tar Heels are 6-10-1 ATS last 17 games as an underdog.
Under Belichick, UNC is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Belichick is 4-7 ATS as an underdog in college games.
Under Belichick, UNC is 4-3-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Pittsburgh (5-0, 2-0)
Pitt won its ACC games, 27-13 vs Syracuse, 35-33 at Va Tech..
Panthers gave up 434 passing yards last week in Blacksburg.
Panthers have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Panthers have 127 returning starts on the offensive line.
#2 QB Geriner was a backup at Auburn/Texas State.
Panthers held four of five I-A opponents under 70 yards rushing.
Pitt is 9-3 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Pitt is 27-11-1 ATS last 38 games as a favorite.
Pitt is 26-18 ATS in its last 42 ACC games.
Pitt is 13-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Teams split last seven series games.
Tar Heels won five of last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 8-3 in last eleven meetings.
ACC home favorites are 2-3 ATS
UCLA @ Oregon (-10.5)
UCLA (4-0, 2-0)
UCLA won its two Big 18 tilts, 52-38 Purdue/54-3 @ Maryland.
Bruins scored 45-54 points in their two road games.
UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bruins have 124 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Iamaleava has 25 career starts.
UCLA is 7-3 ATS last ten games as a underdog.
In his career, Chesney is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
UCLA is 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 conference games.
In his career, Chesney is 9-9-1 ATS in conference games.
UCLA is 6-3-1 ATS last ten games coming off a win.
Three of their four games went over the total.
Oregon (3-1, 1-0)
Oregon won first conference game, 41-27 at USC.
Ducks allowed 554-446 total yards in last two I-A games.
Oregon has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Moore has 20 career starts.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 16-11 ATS overall as a home favorite.
Since 2017, Oregon is 27-22-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Oregon is 23-15 ATS last 38 games coming off a win
Under Lanning, Ducks are 25-16 ATS in conference games.
All four of their games went over the total.
Oregon won five in row, 11 of last 12 series games.
Bruins lost last eight visits to Eugene (3-5 ATS)
Over is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 2-7 ATS
Oklahoma vs Texas (-7.5) (@ Dallas)
Oklahoma (2-2, 0-1)
Oklahoma lost two of last three games, scoring 12.3 ppg
In those games, Sooners ran ball for 75.3 yards/game.
Oklahoma has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Sooners have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mateer has 24 career starts.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 5-3 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2016, Oklahoma is 8-4 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Sooners are 15-20-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-7 ATS in games coming off a loss
Three of their four games stayed under the total.
Texas (3-0, 1-0)
Texas won its first four games, giving up 13.3 ppg.
Texas held last two opponents to 142-221 total yards
Longhorns have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 15 career starts.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 26-25-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 48-41-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 49-53-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 20-25-1 ATS in conference games.
Longhorns’ last three games stayed under the total.
Texas won three of last four series games.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
SEC favorites are 10-9 ATS in conference games.
This game is in Dallas, a neutral site.
Ole Miss (-9.5) @ Vanderbilt
Ole Miss (3-1, 1-1)
Ole Miss got upset in last game, 52-28 at Florida.
Ole Miss scored 41-41-32 points in their wins.
Rebels have 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Rebels have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Chambliss started 13 games last year.
Ole Miss is 13-8-1 ATS last 21 games as a road favorite.
Rebels gained 420 total yards in all four games.
Rebels are 15-18-2 ATS in last 35 SEC games.
Ole Miss is 4-6 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
Rebels have a minus-4 turnover ratio.
Vanderbilt (3-2, 0-2)
Vandy lost first two SEC games, 21-15 # Auburn, 38-14 @ Georgia
Commodores are 0-2 when they score less than 28 points.
Commodores have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Commodores have 58 returning starts on OL; lot of transfers.
#2 QB Berlowitz is 12-23/190 passing; he’s transfer from NM State.
Under Lea, Vandy is 24-20-1 ATS as an underdog.
Under Lea, Vandy is 8-12 ATS as a home underdog.
Vandy is 14-3-1 ATS in last 18 SEC games.
Vandy is 8-1 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Three of their last four games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2023.
Ole Miss won last five meetings (4-1 ATS)
Houston @ Kansas State (-2.5)
Houston (4-1, 1-1)
Houston split its Big X games: 26-28 @ Tex Tech, 27-17 vs UCF
Cougars gained 441+ yards in three of four I-A games.
Houston has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cougars have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Weigman has 26 career starts.
Under Fritz, Houston is 8-7 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Fritz is 31-27-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Fritz is 48-39-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Fritz, Houston is 10-10 ATS in conference games.
Cougars are 8-11 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Three of their four I-A games went over.
Kansas State (3-1, 0-1)
Wildcats lost their Big X opener, 31-26 at Cincinnati.
K-State gained 487-428-447 yards in their I-A games.
Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 50 returning starts on the OL, from various places.
Senior QB Johnson has 25 career starts.
K-State is 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a favorite.
K-State is 16-9 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 8-12 ATS in last 20 Big X games.
K-State is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Wildcats gave up 271 rushing yards in last week’s loss.
Home team won both series games.
Big X home favorites are 3-5 ATS.
LSU (-9) @ Kentucky
LSU (4-1, 1-1)
LSU allowed less than 200 total yards in their wins.
Tigers lost only road game, 32-24 at Ole Miss.
LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
LSU has 121 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Leavitt started 20 games at Arizona State.
LSU is 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
In his college career, Kiffin is 21-20-1 ATS as a road favorite.
LSU is 7-11 ATS in its last 18 SEC games.
In his college career, Kiffin is 58-53-3 ATS in conference games.
Tigers are 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a win.
Kentucky (4-1, 2-1)
Kentucky scored 31+ points in its I-A wins.
Kentucky’s one loss: 45-17 at home to Alabama
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wildcats have 89 returning starts on OL, from various places.
Junior QB Minchey was a backup at Notre Dame.
Wildcats are 10-7 ATS last 17 games as an underdog.
Kentucky is 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Last 5+ years, Kentucky is 23-20 ATS in SEC games.
Wildcats are 11-8 ATS last 19 games coming off a win.
Kentucky’s last four games went over the total.
LSU won six of last eight series games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
SEC home underdogs are 2-2 ATS
USC @ Penn State (-1.5)
USC (5-1, 2-1)
USC won only road game, 42-35 at Rutgers.
Trojans gained 446+ in five of their six games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Trojans have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Maiava threw for 3,711 yards last season.
Under Riley, Trojans are 2-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Riley is 5-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Riley, USC is 14-26 ATS in conference games.
USC is 7-18-1 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Three of their last four games went over the total.
Penn State (3-2, 0-2)
Penn State lost first two Big 18 games, to Wisconsin/Northwestern.
Nittany Lions were held to 233-291 yards in those games.
Nittany Lions have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Penn State has 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Becht started 39 games at Iowa State.
Penn State is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
In his career, Campbell is 35-35-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Nittany Lions are 8-13 ATS in last 21 conference games.
In his career, Campbell is 67-56-3 ATS in conference games.
Penn State is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
In his career, Campbell is 36-24-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games.
USC won three of last four meetings.
Teams have met only once in the last ten years.
Georgia @ Alabama (-1.5)
Georgia (5-0, 3-0)
Georgia won its only road game, 45-17 at Arkansas.
Dawgs won all five games by 24+ points.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 66 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Stockton has 14 career starts.
In his career, Smart is 53-42 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 11-20-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
In his career, Smart is 4-2 ATS as an underdog
Georgia held its SEC foes to 55.7 rushing yards/game.
Dawgs are +6 in turnovers their last four games.
Alabama (5-0, 3-0)
Alabama won first three SEC games, 45-17/49-18/56-23
Alabama covered four of its five games.
Alabama has 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 30 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Russell has 11 TD passes, two INTs.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 12-4 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 23-14-1 as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide is 20-9-1 ATS in its last 30 SEC games.
In his career, DeBoer is 28-25-1 ATS in conference games.
Alabama is 21-14-1 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
All five of their games went over the total.
Alabama won 10 of last 12 series games.
Dawgs lost 41-34/41-24, in last two visits to Tuscaloosa.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
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